From the New World

(Classic Episode) Zvi Mowshowitz - How the Worst People in Society Bungled a Pandemic

Mar 13, 2023

03:33:04

Creator website

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Episode notes

Introduction

4min

Emergence: A Tradable Card Game

2min

The Correlation Between Magic and Yu-Gi-Oh

4min

The Difference Between Agreement and Competence in Trading

2min

The Secret Stage of Magic

2min

The Importance of Expected Metagame

3min

How to Be a Successful Chess Player

4min

The Unfunny Side of the Game

2min

The Importance of Learning Curves

3min

10.

The Importance of Data in AI

3min

11.

The Importance of Intuition in Poker

4min

12.

The Importance of Knowing the Metagame

2min

13.

How to Be a Good Draft Picker

3min

14.

How to Decipher COVID Projections and Forecasts

4min

15.

How to Make Good Predictions

2min

16.

The Importance of Predictions

3min

17.

The Importance of Confidence

6min

18.

The CDC Cares About Running All the Tests

4min

19.

The Importance of Narrative Hedging

3min

20.

The Power of Explicitity in Conspiracy

2min

21.

The Status of Volatility

5min

22.

The Importance of Quotas in Hiring

3min

23.

The Importance of Moderation in Startups

6min

24.

The Effects of Self-Deception on Selection

3min

25.

The Importance of Adaptation Execution

5min

26.

The Pressure to Care for Your Child

1min

27.

The Different Types of Healthcare

3min

28.

The Challenges of Thinking About Your Social Context

5min

29.

The Importance of Being More Malleable

2min

30.

The Metamalleability Limit

2min

31.

The Importance of Institutional Design in Leadership

5min

32.

The Importance of Social Climbing

2min

33.

The Purpose of Conversation

4min

34.

The Importance of Being Ambiguous in Social Status

4min

35.

The Disagreement About Status

4min

36.

The Problem With the Status Hierarchy

4min

37.

The Importance of Social Competition in the Workplace

3min

38.

The End of History

2min

39.

The Implications of History and Storytelling

4min

40.

The Role of Pornography in Politics

3min

41.

The Pursuit of Truth

2min

42.

The Breakdown of Our World

3min

43.

The Energy Economy and Populism

5min

44.

The Importance of Energy Scarcity in the US

2min

45.

The Neocons and the US Foreign Policy

3min

46.

The Power of Uncertainty in Energy Transitions

4min

47.

The Problem With Ranking Choice Voting

2min

48.

The Hegelian Dialectic Dynamics of Political Systems

5min

49.

The Imminence of One Type Two Errors

5min

50.

The Reductionist Institution of the Future

3min

51.

The Importance of Continuity in Government Organization

5min

52.

The Limits of Libertarianism

3min

53.

The Libertarian Party Sucks at Winning Elections

3min

54.

The New Leadership Is Less Traditional Libertarian

2min

55.

The Importance of Embodied Education

3min

56.

The Cost of Not Having a Permit

3min

57.

The Importance of Trade in Libertarianism

2min

58.

The Importance of Common Sensibility

3min

59.

The Importance of Negotiating Trade Agreements

2min

60.

The Chaos of the Show

2min

61.

The Chaos of Childhood

2min

62.

The Importance of Order in Equity Table Governance

3min

63.

The Future of Cryptocurrency

5min

64.

The Importance of Math Research

2min

65.

The Importance of Russian Accent in Math

2min

66.

The Importance of Self-Perpetuation in Math

3min

67.

How to Be a Better Communicator

3min

Zvi is a COVID forecaster, writer of thezvi blog, and game designer at the recently released (as of republishing) card game https://emergentstcg.com.

We discuss Magic the Gathering, chess and computability, learning curves, COVID projections, the CDC banning testing, immoral mazes, selection effects, psychological malleability, Robin Hanson and medicine, institutional incentives, egalitarianism, civilizational collapse, populism, libertarianism, and pure math.Note: the timestamps are somewhat inaccurate due to editing and intro.

0:00 MTG

19:00 chess, computability, and learning

36:30 COVID projections

49:00 CDC banning tests + immoral mazes

57:15 narrative hedging

1:14:05 selection vs. malleability

1:21:20 Robin Hanson and medicine

1:55:00 institution building

2:00:05 egalitarianism and social competition

2:13:30 were we in a golden age?

2:15:30 decivilization

2:18:50 economies of scale

3:03:00 chaos and order

3:14:05 pure math

Zvi’s Blog:

http://thezvi.wordpress.com/

Zvi on Twitter:

https://twitter.com/TheZvi

Episode with Samo Burja:

Episode with Robin Hanson:

CDC banning COVID tests:

https://www.science.org/content/article/united-states-badly-bungled-coronavirus-testing-things-may-soon-improve

Moral Mazes book:

https://www.amazon.ca/Moral-Mazes-Corporate-Managers-Updated/dp/0199729883

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