In Moscow's Shadows

In this episode, the guest discusses Ramzan Kadyrov and the concept of 'conflict entrepreneurs' in Russia, highlighting the violence and personalistic nature of power in Chechnya. The potential departure of Kadyrov from Chechnya and its implications are explored, along with the rumors surrounding his health. The transformation of the Chechen elite and the profitability of conflicts, such as in Donbass and Ukraine, are also discussed. The episode concludes by emphasizing the war as the driving force behind the Russian elite and promising future exploration of specific conflict entrepreneurs.

Guests: Dmitri Medvedev, Anton Siluanov, Sergei Surovikin, Sergei Sobyanin, Valentin Konovalov, Sergei Aksenov. This podcast explores the rise of dynasties in Russian politics, the shift in Russia's direction, personal relationships in the military and insights into the current situation in Russia, a political career in Moscow, and the potential dangers of Late Putinism.

Explore the future of Wagner, a Russian mercenary group, in Africa and its potential relevance and deals. Discover Russia's strategic goals in Africa and its growing influence, as well as the perception and impacts of Wagner both domestically and internationally. Also, delve into the lessons learned by the Russian military from the Afghanistan war.

The podcast discusses the shocking murder within Putin's circle, the potential risks posed by the private military company Wagner, Putin's broken promises and its implications on the regime, as well as the decay and instability of Putin's system. They highlight the importance of trust and loyalty, predict a dramatic change in the system, and emphasize the need for support on their platforms and Patreon.

The podcast discusses the nervousness of the Kremlin, cracking down on critics and struggling to win society's loyalty. It also explores the neglect and abuse of the Russian police force and the potential consequences for the Kremlin. Additionally, the podcast delves into political developments, public opinion on the war, and challenges faced by the police force, including power struggles and operational limitations. It questions the loyalty and potential actions of the police force during a crisis in Russia.

He may have just been sentenced to another 19 years, now in a 'special regime colony', but the indomitable Alexei Navalny has just produced a broadside against the 'reformists' of the 1990s - whom he considers nothing of the sort, but instead the architects of kleptocracy and authoritarianism. And it's hard to disagree with that. I go through what is in effect his manifesto, with lots of quotes and also lots of my own marginalia, and conclude by questioning whether Navalny's very purity of purpose may be a problem - and the lessons for the West.The translation of his article in Meduza is here.The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.You can also follow my blog, In Moscow's Shadows, and become one of the podcast's supporting Patrons and gain question-asking rights and access to exclusive extra materials right here. Support the show

Comparing the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan with Putin's war in Ukraine, exploring casualties and impact. Consequences for Russian veterans and the Russian Federation. Examining casualty rates and potential pushback against Moscow. Afghan veteran's struggle for prosthetic limbs. Role of security elite and potential for future foreign wars.

Is there a post-mutiny purge of the military going on? What can we learn from the apparent dismissal or detention of figures such as Generals Surovikin and Popov? And what does this mean about the prospects of the war and whether there will be the military coup some seem to be anticipating?The Dara Massicot (@MassDara) twitter thread I mention starts here.The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.You can also follow my blog, In Moscow's Shadows, and become one of the podcast's supporting Patrons and gain question-asking rights and access to exclusive extra materials right here. Support the show

There still seems no escaping the fallout from Prigozhin's mutiny, whether we're talking about the fate of Wagner in Africa or those bizarre wig selfies. I take a series of questions from Oligarch/Hetman patrons as a structure to look at what we do - and don't - know at present.The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.You can also follow my blog, In Moscow's Shadows, and become one of the podcast's supporting Patrons and gain question-asking rights and access to exclusive extra materials right here. Support the show

A shorter episode, because there is still so much about the causes, course and consequences of Prigozhin's mutiny that we still don't know. Instead, I focus in on the spook side: what were the FSB, FSO and GRU doing? To a large degree, the answer is> failing. Will they be taken to account? I doubt it, and this underlines the way that 'late Putinism' is characterised by its refusal or inability to reform.The previous episode I mentioned looking at Russia's complex mercenary ecosystem is  In Moscow's Shadows 98: Dogs of War (and Racoons). The podcast's corporate partner and sponsor is Conducttr, which provides software for innovative and immersive crisis exercises in hybrid warfare, counter-terrorism, civil affairs and similar situations.You can also follow my blog, In Moscow's Shadows, and become one of the podcast's supporting Patrons and gain question-asking rights and access to exclusive extra materials right here. Support the show