Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

Climate and the Curve

Nov 18, 2022

01:28:22

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Highlights

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Episode notes

Decarbonizing an Economy Using a Carbon Tax

02:24

Climate Change - Is the Net Zero Carbon Tax the Right Thing?

05:54

The Cost of Inaction Outweighs the Cost of Action

04:36

Introduction

4min

The Ill Curve Is a Prescient Leading Indicator of Recession

3min

Is the Yield Curve a Good Prediction for a Recession?

5min

QE - This Time Might Be Different

2min

5min

Are You Going Back to the Financial Crisis?

2min

Is the Fed Going to Be More Aggressive?

5min

CNI Lending Commercial Is Going That Where the Puck Is

2min

What Are Your Odds on a Recession?

2min

10.

Is the 10-Year Fed Funds a Good Prediction?

5min

11.

Marissa, Are You on Your Side?

2min

12.

Climate Change - What Policymakers Should Do About It?

2min

13.

The Cost of Inaction Outweighs the Cost of Action

5min

14.

How Much Credit Should You Give US Policymakers for Mitigating Chronic Physical Risk?

3min

15.

Acute Physical Risk - What's the Expected Value?

1min

16.

The Current Policy Scenario Is a Border Adjustment

2min

17.

Is There a Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism?

4min

18.

Decarbonizing an Economy Using a Carbon Tax

2min

19.

Carbon Taxes - What's Not in the Paper?

2min

20.

Climate Change - Is the Net Zero Carbon Tax the Right Thing?

6min

21.

Clean Energy Tax Credits - The Most Efficient Way to Address Climate Change

4min

22.

Is the IRA Going to Go Away?

5min

23.

The Best Statistic

5min

24.

What's the Most Important Indicator?

2min

25.

We're Going to Bend the Emissions Curve by 2030, Right?

3min

26.

What's Going to Happen to Jobless Claims?

3min

Mark, Cris, and Marisa discuss the yield curve and give their latest recession odds. They also welcome back colleagues, Gaurav Ganguly, Chris Lafakis, and Bernard Yaros of Moody's Analytics, to examine the challenges of climate change and the impact on the U.S. economy.

Full episode transcript

Mark, Chris, and Bernard's paper, The Macroeconomic Cost of Climate Inaction

Follow Mark Zandi @MarkZandi, Cris deRitis @MiddleWayEcon, and Marisa DiNatale on LinkedIn for additional insight