Is the 10-Year Fed Funds a Good Prediction?

The economic data feels to me definitively like it's moving in the right direction. But every time you've had a recession, the policy curve has inverted. We need confirmation that the two-year, 10-year is going to be accurate. Anything else on the economy you want to bring up before we bring in the rest of the team to talk about climate risk? Any bugging you? By the way, I'm getting more confident that the time is going to navigate through. I don't know if I'm going to. What are your odds now? 45. Just 50%. 50%. Okay. That's for next podcast.