GoodFellows: Conversations from the Hoover Institution

Three Good Fellows and Not Enough Babies: A Conversation with Demographer Nicolas Eberstadt | GoodFellows: John Cochrane, Niall Ferguson, H. R. McMaster | Hoover Institution

Mar 14, 2023

58:33

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Highlights

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Episode notes

Predicting the Future

05:02

The Feds Stepped in to Make Uninsured Creditors Whole

01:35

The Long March to Below Replacement Fertility

01:19

Introduction

2min

The Long March to Sub Replacement Fertility

2min

What Would Cause Chinese Fertility to Go Up Again?

2min

Is There a Reliability Test for Predictions of Fertility?

2min

What Do You Know About Demography and Fertility Patterns?

2min

What Is the Best Predictor of Fertility?

2min

The Long March to Below Replacement Fertility

1min

Are We Going to Have Children Because the Planets Dying?

2min

Predicting the Future

5min

10.

Immigrants Are the Ones Who Pay Social Security Taxes

1min

11.

Migration Into Europe

2min

12.

Are You Finding It Harder and Harder to Keep Recruiting Young Men Into the Military?

2min

13.

Is There a Flight From the Workforce?

3min

14.

Is There Incentives at Work Here?

2min

15.

The Biggest Bank Failure in US History

4min

16.

What Does This Mean for the Fed's Strategy to Bring Down Inflation?

2min

17.

The Fed's Trying to Bring Down Inflation by Raising Rates

1min

18.

Is the Fed Raising Interest Rates Going to Make Everyone Whole?

2min

19.

Is It Time to Re Regulate?

2min

20.

The Feds Stepped in to Make Uninsured Creditors Whole

2min

21.

I Don't Think It's Over

2min

22.

Is There a Long Term Inflation Problem?

2min

23.

All Quiet on the Western Front

1min

24.

Film Review - Lewis Milestones Black and Whites

2min

25.

The Inhumaneness of War

2min

26.

The Ugly Reality of What War I Is

2min

27.

German Film Review - All Card in the Western Front

2min

28.

The Most Powerful War Movie Ever

2min

29.

The Greatest Movie Ever - War and Peace

2min

What do long-term demographic trends suggest about the world moving forward? American Enterprise Institute fellow Nicholas Eberstadt joins Hoover senior fellows Niall Ferguson, H. R. McMaster, and John Cochrane for a conversation about shifting populations and societal behavior, followed by the three “GoodFellows” addressing the fallout from Silicon Valley Bank’s implosion and All Quiet on the Western Front’s strong showing at the 95th Academy Awards.