Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Jim Leitner on Creating a Macro Edge, Trading Options and Carry Trades

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Mar 24, 2023
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INSIGHT

Multipolar World

  • The world is shifting from a unipolar/bipolar state to a multipolar one.
  • This creates opportunities for idiosyncratic bets in specific countries like India or Brazil.
INSIGHT

Smaller Multipolar Markets

  • The multipolar world extends beyond large emerging markets, including countries like Czechia or Poland.
  • Increased liquidity and idiosyncratic factors make these smaller markets interesting for macro investors.
INSIGHT

Inflation Concerns

  • Current inflation is significantly supply-driven, making central bank policy less effective.
  • This uncertainty implies higher inflation volatility than markets currently price in.
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