The Joe Walker Podcast

The Shape Of Probability - Harry Crane

May 14, 2018

01:42:51

Creator website

Highlights

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Episode notes

The Base Rate Fallacy

04:17

Is This Undermining the Replication Crisis?

02:39

The First Rule of Probability

02:00

Introduction

3min

Naseem Tlaib: What's Your Best Thing in 2017?

2min

How Did You Find Your Way Into Statistics?

5min

What Kind of Money Did You Make in the World Series of Poker?

3min

The History of Probability and Statistics

4min

The Bayesian View of Probability

5min

What Is Probability?

2min

The Replication Crisis, Nate Silver's Polling Predictions?

5min

The First Rule of Probability

2min

10.

Is There a Flying Spaghetti Monster or Something Like That?

2min

11.

Is There a Skin in the Game?

2min

12.

The Intuition Behind Hypothesis Testing

4min

13.

Is There a False Positive?

5min

14.

Is It Just Psychology?

3min

15.

Is There a 5% Chance That You'll Get a False Positive?

2min

16.

Do We Need to Lower the Type 1 Error Probability?

2min

17.

The False Positive Rate and the Significance Level

2min

18.

What Is P-Hacking?

3min

19.

Are You P-Hackering?

3min

20.

The Application Crisis, What's Driving the Application Crisis?

3min

21.

Is This Undermining the Replication Crisis?

3min

22.

Is There a Benefit to Adding Another Zero to This New Proposal?

2min

23.

How to Get Rid of P Hacking

5min

24.

The Linda Problem by Kahneman Tversky

5min

25.

Are You a Feminist Bank Teller?

2min

26.

Is the Theory of Probability for How People Think a Good Model?

2min

27.

Is the Bayesian Model of Rationality a Good One?

4min

28.

The Base Rate Fallacy

4min

29.

Are People Bad at Statistics?

6min

30.

The Probability of Being Shaped

3min

31.

The Probabilistic Foundations of Statistical Network Analysis

4min

32.

Researchers.1 - A Non-Profit Initiative

4min

Harry Crane is a scholar who specialises in statistics and probability. He is currently a professor of statistics...

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The Joe Walker Podcast

The Shape Of Probability - Harry Crane

The Base Rate Fallacy

Is This Undermining the Replication Crisis?

The First Rule of Probability

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Save anymoment

Share& Export

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Discoverhighlights

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