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Are People Bad at Statistics?
"I think Kahneman is right to say that people are bad intuitive statisticians," he says. "But there's a lot of things that humans are good at that statistics is really bad at." In part, it's because human beings see details at a level that the statistical and methods can't; they get distracted by those details. You have to really kind of train yourself to trust the statistics, but not too much,right? He adds: "You definitely don't want to train... you don't wants to be overly trustworthy of the statistics"