The Replication Crisis, Nate Silver's Polling Predictions?

The way probabilities are used to validate scientific conclusions has led to what's called the replication crisis. Nate Silver, who gave Donald Trump a 28% chance of winning in 2016, still had people coming out and saying that he got it right again. And so when you start to get into that realm of interpreting these probabilities, then it means that pretty much nothing that is said other than an extreme zero or 100% probability is going to happen.