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Quick takeaways
- Public and private discussions on Crimea differ significantly, with Western officials acknowledging the need for a territorial deal despite public rhetoric.
- Reconquering all lost territories, including Crimea, is unlikely for Ukraine due to military challenges and risks of triggering Russian escalation.
Deep dives
Public vs. Private Views on Ukraine's Goals
Publicly, the Zelensky government has taken a hard line, emphasizing the need to recapture Crimea and Eastern Ukraine. However, private discussions reveal a more realistic view. There is recognition that complete victory is difficult, as Ukraine faces challenges like Russian artillery superiority and the potential escalation of Russian aggression. Despite public rhetoric, Western officials acknowledge that a territorial deal may be necessary and have a more pragmatic approach. The discrepancy between public and private views is significant and adds complexity to the resolution of the conflict.
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