#215 Annie Duke- Frameworks for Making Better Decisions

1

Introduction

00:00 • 4min

2

How to Improve Your Knowledge

04:03 • 2min

3

The Importance of Exploring the Information Ecosystem

06:02 • 2min

4

How to Improve on a Skill

07:35 • 2min

5

The Importance of Process in Goal Setting

09:11 • 2min

6

How to Decide

10:51 • 2min

7

How to Focus on Your Strengths

12:31 • 2min

8

How to Improve Your Strengths in Matches

14:04 • 2min

9

The Relationship Between Time and Accuracy

16:03 • 2min

10

The Importance of Analysis Paralysis

18:16 • 2min

11

How to Go Fast and When to Go Slow

19:57 • 2min

12

How to Make Important Decisions

21:56 • 2min

13

How to Clean Up Your Information

23:38 • 2min

14

The Importance of Openness in Decision Making

25:22 • 2min

15

The Importance of Probabilistic Decision Making

27:08 • 2min

16

The Probability of Different Outcomes

28:40 • 2min

17

How to Live With Probabilities

31:00 • 3min

18

How to Be a Leader on a Team

34:04 • 2min

19

The Dispersion of Opinion

36:31 • 2min

20

The Downside and Negative Consequences of This Methodology

38:26 • 3min

21

The Benefits of Pre-Working

41:02 • 2min

22

The Importance of Accountability in Forecasting

42:38 • 3min

23

The Importance of Disagreement in Meetings

45:12 • 2min

24

The Downsides of Slowing Down

46:53 • 2min

25

The Importance of Cognitive Diversity in Decision Making

48:27 • 2min

26

The Importance of Forecasting

50:05 • 2min

27

How to Re-Forecast an Investment

52:15 • 2min

28

How to Make Forecasts That Work for You

54:30 • 2min

29

How to Be a Better Customer Service Agent

56:01 • 2min

30

The Importance of Imagining the Future

57:34 • 2min

31

The Importance of Planning for the Future

59:38 • 2min

32

The Importance of Thinking Through Multiple Universes

01:01:20 • 3min

33

The Difference Between Complex and Complicated

01:04:16 • 2min

34

The Importance of Luck in Complex Decisions

01:06:06 • 2min

35

The Imperfect Space

01:07:36 • 2min

36

How to the Side: Simple Tools for Making Better Choices

01:09:57 • 2min