Forward Guidance

Bob Elliott, CIO at Unlimited Funds, and Mike Green, Chief Strategist at Simplify Asset Management, discuss the late cycle slowdown coming in 2024. They cover topics such as the impact of passive investing, the relative value of bonds vs stocks, and the signals delinquencies are giving regarding credit. They also explore the potential results of geopolitical conflict on investments like Bitcoin, gold, and bonds, and whether the Fed will cut rates in 2024.

The podcast discusses David Cervantes' macroeconomic views, trading preferences, and the recent sell-off in the bond market. They explore the impact of Federal Reserve bond purchases on interest rates and the relationship between public sector deficits, private sector surpluses, and the possibility of a recession.

Lyn Alden discusses the recent bond market meltdown and explains why our monetary order is broken. They explore the pros and cons of hard money and how Bitcoin could provide a solution. They also touch on topics such as the risks of buying bonds, the state of the US economy, commercial real estate, and the lack of transparency in fiat money.

Alfonso Peccatiello, Founder & CEO of The Macro Compass, discusses the U.S bond market sell-off and its implications, bond market sentiment, the best risk/reward being short equities, the weakness in Europe, understanding the yield curve, supply & demand in the U.S bond market, bear steepening during an inverted yield curve, and whether bonds will continue selling off until something breaks.

Luke Gromen, founder of Forest For The Trees, discusses the steep sell-off in the bond market and its consequences. Topics include the relationship between declining ISM and the bond market, impact of higher interest rates on the economy, potential breaking points in the financial system, brokenness of banks and treasury market, challenges of reducing government spending, and comparing the US economy to Argentina.

Financial journalist and author Spencer Jakab discusses the fleecing of small investors, problems at the clearinghouse, gamma squeezes via out-of-the-money short-dated call options, the r/wsb strategy becoming a movement, the influencers Dave Portnoy, Chamath Palihapitiya, and Jack Farley, the theories of conspiracy, and how to beat Wall Street actually.

Former CFTC Commissioner Brian Quintenz discusses the challenges of crypto regulation and the need for clarity. They explore the impact of overreach by the SEC and mixed feelings about the CFTC's regulation. The podcast also touches on international regulation of DeFi and the importance of balancing rules and innovation in the crypto industry.

Nanette Jacobson, Global Investments Strategist at Hartford Funds, discusses her investment outlook, suggesting it might be time to lean into bonds. Topics discussed include the economic outlook, banking system, interest rates and Fed, China's affordability, US fiscal stimulus, cautious views on stocks, and costly investor mistakes. The debate about bonds and the potential for expensive stocks to get even more expensive are also explored.

Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO & Chief Strategist of QI Research, discusses Jay Powell going off script at the September Fed meeting, the normalization of credit, the risk of a government shutdown, and her hypothesis that March 2020 might not count as a recession.

SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce discusses crypto regulation, SEC's role in ensuring transparency, proposed changes in exchange definition, concerns over alleged 'lawlessness', SPACs regulations, and proposed reforms in money market funds.