FiveThirtyEight Politics

The 538 Politics podcast discusses the upcoming election in Kentucky and Mississippi, analyzing the competitiveness of the races and the strategies of the candidates. They also delve into the partisan split in worldview and the limitations of polling. The hosts touch on important races in Houston and Bridgeport, and assess the 2024 presidential race with poll results showing Trump ahead of Biden in swing states.

Former congressman and recent Texas transplant Adam Kinzinger discusses his new book and reflects on the current state of the Republican Party. Topics include running against Ted Cruz, tension within the party, drawing the center back, admired politicians, the future of the GOP, being authentic in politics, and changing dynamics of political parties.

In this podcast, the crew discusses the entrance of little-known Democratic challenger Dean Phillips and the exit of former Vice President Mike Pence from the presidential race. They also explore the challenges faced by Pence in gaining support and funding. The chapter further delves into the rise of conservative leader Representative Mike Johnson and the upcoming Election Day 2023, with a focus on the key races and measures in Ohio and Virginia.

The podcast discusses the ongoing search for a new House Speaker, analyzing the nine candidates and speculating on the most likely choice. They also delve into the challenges of obtaining accurate information about the Israel-Hamas conflict and the role of social media in spreading misinformation. The potential impact of the war on public opinion, polarization, and calls for an independent investigation are also explored.

The podcast discusses Americans' reactions to the war in Israel, the shifting sympathies in the Israel-Palestine conflict, and the effectiveness of political ads on voter opinion of Trump. They also explore the ongoing speaker race in Washington and recommend a podcast called Reclaimed the Forgotten League.

The podcast discusses how the Hamas attacks on Israel are shaping politics in Washington and on the campaign trail. It also covers notable developments in domestic politics such as Biden's pivot on border security, Robert F Kennedy Jr.'s independent bid for presidency, and 538's Republican primary polling averages. They explore topics like political responses to the Israel-Palestine conflict, challenges in electing a new House Speaker, and electoral consequences of the immigration crisis. They also discuss the potential impact on the Biden administration's public perception, third party candidates, and close elections. Trump remains a strong favorite in primary polling averages.

The podcast discusses the reasons behind the government avoiding a shutdown, the gender divide in thinking about the Roman Empire, the political consequences and motivations of Speaker Kevin McCarthy, the appointment of a new senator from California, and tips for analyzing polling data and identifying outliers.

The crew discusses the performance of GOP candidates in the recent debate, the lack of standout moments, and the urgency and frustration among candidates. They also touch on the challenges of winning in light of low polling numbers for Trump.

Examines the lack of serious challengers to Trump in the Republican primary and the absence of primary challengers to Biden in the Democratic party. Explores the rigidity and calcification of American politics, the concerns about Biden's electability in 2024, and the importance of marginal voters in the 2020 election. Analyzes Trump's moderation on abortion and discusses government shutdowns and political divisions. Wraps up with a discussion of using profanity to increase class enrollment.

Discussion on Republican impeachment inquiry and possible government shutdown, labor strikes and political divide, analysis of Democrats' gains and setbacks in elections, criticism of Biden and Trump, public opinion on labor unions, Republican tendency to blame Biden, and analysis of blame assigned for United Auto Workers' demands.