Four: Spencer Greenberg on the scientific approach to solving difficult everyday questions

1

Introduction

00:00 • 2min

2

How to Reason Through Difficult Questions

02:16 • 5min

3

How to Get More Happy Thoughts Everyday?

06:56 • 2min

4

Is There a Value for Its Own Sake?

08:38 • 2min

5

Are You a Conservative or a Liberal?

10:22 • 2min

6

What Are the Differences Between Universal and None Universal Values?

12:33 • 2min

7

What Do Inte Rial Values Really Mean?

14:57 • 2min

8

How to Find Your Own Intrinsic Values

17:00 • 2min

9

Do You Think That Money Is Inherently Valuable?

18:47 • 2min

10

Learning for Its Own Sake

20:20 • 3min

11

The Human Brain Doesn't Clearly Differ Between Value and Integrity

23:03 • 6min

12

I'm Going on Vacation, I'll Value My Own Wealtare Mo Ham It

28:34 • 3min

13

The Best World Is Just Hook Aryone Up to Happiness Machine in Riting

31:24 • 3min

14

Human Brains Have Multiple Integrative Values

33:55 • 2min

15

Are You Over Confident?

35:56 • 2min

16

Are You Over Confident?

37:31 • 3min

17

The Martial Arts One Lines Up Pretty Well

40:13 • 2min

18

Are You Confident?

42:21 • 2min

19

The Five Trades That Were Able to Discover

44:07 • 3min

20

Is There a Myth About Spinach?

46:38 • 2min

21

How Much Should You Change Your Belief Based on Evidence?

48:25 • 4min

22

Do You Work With Odds or Opponents?

52:04 • 3min

23

Is It Subject of Judgment?

54:43 • 5min

24

What Is the Base Factor?

59:20 • 3min

25

When Should We Trust Common Sense?

01:02:20 • 3min

26

Are You Good at Reading Social Information?

01:04:54 • 4min

27

The Fallacy of Aggregation

01:08:44 • 2min

28

Is There a Replica of Power Posing?

01:10:27 • 3min

29

Is It a Small Effect?

01:13:49 • 2min

30

Do You Believe That Possibility Can Affect Mood?

01:15:43 • 3min

31

How to Optimize a Reference Class?

01:18:47 • 3min

32

How Long Will It Take You to Finish a Project?

01:21:54 • 2min

33

Do You Have a Planning Fallacy?

01:23:58 • 2min

34

Predicting the Future With Models and Theories

01:25:38 • 2min

35

Using Multiple Models to Predict a Thing

01:27:48 • 2min

36

Is There Evidence That Chocolate Reduces or Improves Cardiovascular Health?

01:29:25 • 2min

37

Is the Base Factor a Hundred?

01:31:18 • 2min

38

Qualitative Frameworks Can Be Used to Destimate Things

01:33:36 • 3min

39

Is There a Difference Between a Number and Nothing?

01:36:26 • 3min

40

How Many Presidents Have Colluded With Foreign Powers?

01:39:00 • 2min

41

Is He a Russa Colluder?

01:40:40 • 2min

42

The Probability of China and the United States Going to War in the 20th Century

01:42:11 • 2min

43

What's the Bas Factor of War?

01:43:58 • 2min

44

Are They Going to Give Up Their Nuclear Weapons?

01:45:46 • 2min

45

The Right Model Isn't Quite the Right Model

01:47:40 • 3min

46

Is There a Base Factor in Sugar?

01:50:50 • 2min

47

Is the Diet Change the Cause of the Arthritis Going Away?

01:53:13 • 2min

48

How to Estimate the Odds of a Trump Being Reelected?

01:55:03 • 2min

49

Can You Beat the Production Market?

01:57:15 • 2min

50

I Think the Effect Size of the Study Goes Up, and the Probability of a Real Result Goes Down.

01:58:51 • 2min

51

Liquid Prediction Markets

02:00:34 • 2min

52

Is This Really a Fraud?

02:02:10 • 2min

53

Faith Healer

02:03:47 • 2min

54

Is It Really That Unforgivable?

02:05:47 • 3min

55

Do You Feel Better Now?

02:08:31 • 3min

56

Is This Really a Dodgy Company?

02:11:26 • 2min

57

Is There a Smoke Detector Alarm?

02:13:06 • 2min

58

The Importance of Rethinking Your Expectations

02:15:20 • 2min