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Four: Spencer Greenberg on the scientific approach to solving difficult everyday questions
Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours
Using Multiple Models to Predict a Thing
i generally think it's a good idea to try to rely on multiple models when possible. If you have multiple models that make prediction about a thing, why not look at what each of them predicts? And then you can start thinking about averagin teir predictions,. or at least asking, well in this situation, do i have some reason to think that one model will be more accurate than another?"
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