AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
2min chapter
Four: Spencer Greenberg on the scientific approach to solving difficult everyday questions
Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours
The Probability of China and the United States Going to War in the 20th Century
The probability theu s and china goes to war in the 20 first century? Here's a kind of a famous reference class forecaster for this. I think it's that nine out of 13 times that there's been a big a transition in which is the most a militarily powerful country in the world, e heve gone to war. But i think there's good reasons not ting ly take that reference class. We any othe reference class for that we can use.
00:00
Transcript
Episode notes
Get the Snipd
podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered
Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any
moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share
& Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode