Freakonomics, M.D.

55. This Vaccine Lottery Seemed Like a Great Idea. Why Didn’t it Work?

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Sep 30, 2022
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ANECDOTE

Regret Lottery Origins

  • In spring 2021, behavioral scientist Katy Milkman discussed COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy with Nobel laureates Richard Thaler and Daniel Kahneman.
  • They proposed a "regret lottery" to incentivize vaccinations.
INSIGHT

Regret Lottery Psychology

  • Regret lotteries leverage "loss aversion," where the pain of losing something outweighs the pleasure of gaining it.
  • This makes the potential loss of a prize more motivating than a potential gain.
ANECDOTE

Regret Lottery Results

  • The Philadelphia regret lottery, targeting specific zip codes, did not significantly increase vaccinations.
  • Factors like the politically charged atmosphere and timing may have contributed to this outcome.
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