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Unrealistic Ukrainian Counter-Offensive
- The Ukrainian counter-offensive was unlikely to succeed due to numerous military disadvantages.
- Western powers pushed Ukraine into this offensive fearing waning public support if there were no battlefield successes in 2023.
NATO Membership Conditional on Victory
- Ukraine's admission into NATO is conditional upon its victory in the ongoing war, which is unlikely.
- This effectively puts Ukraine's NATO membership at an indefinite distance, diminishing official commitments.
US Policy Fools or Cynical?
- US policy may not have intended to admit Ukraine to NATO but to keep it a proxy without defense obligations.
- Mearsheimer views the policymaking less as cynical strategy and more as a serious strategic misjudgment.