Robin Hanson: How Global Elites Manufactured Stagnation and How We Escape

1

Introduction

00:00 • 2min

2

Progress Studies - What Is Getting in the Way of Economic Progress?

02:28 • 3min

3

The Delusion Class Is Not a Fake Elite

05:14 • 2min

4

Prediction Markets and Political Economy in General

07:39 • 2min

5

What Are Your Most Interesting Twitter Poles and What Do They Tell Us?

09:48 • 2min

6

How Do People Make Decisions?

11:30 • 2min

7

What Are People Doing and Why?

13:34 • 2min

8

Is There a Difference Between Theory and Data?

15:56 • 3min

9

Decision Analysis - The Important Place to Do It

18:53 • 3min

10

Is Machine Learning a Science or a Technology?

21:57 • 2min

11

How Can You Get People to Help You?

24:07 • 3min

12

How to Predict the Results of Sports Betting

27:36 • 2min

13

What Are the Uses of These Betting Markets?

29:31 • 2min

14

What Happens if Someone Attempts to Manipulate the Market?

31:29 • 5min

15

Adding Manipulators Makes the Prices More Accurate, Right?

36:30 • 2min

16

How to Make Call Off Trades in a Conditional Prediction Market

38:33 • 2min

17

Choosing the Best Option in the Market

40:56 • 5min

18

Speculators Aren't Sure of Which Option They'll Pick

45:52 • 3min

19

Prediction Markets

48:23 • 2min

20

Bata Testing - What Are the Miscellaneous Events?

50:38 • 4min

21

Is There a Moral Norte in Betting Markets?

54:40 • 3min

22

Is It Easier to Go to Vegas Than to Invest in a Private Company?

58:02 • 2min

23

Is There a Regulated Lottery?

59:54 • 2min

24

How Regulation Blocks Innovation?

01:01:40 • 2min

25

Prediction Market

01:03:27 • 5min

26

The Project Lead's Favorite Explanation

01:08:27 • 3min

27

Prediction Markets Make It Very Difficult to Have Hypocrisy

01:11:42 • 3min

28

The Elephant in the Brain, Hidden Motives in Everyday Life

01:14:43 • 3min

29

How to Understand People's Complaints

01:17:49 • 5min

30

The Split Brain and the Hidden Motives

01:23:15 • 4min

31

The Elephant in the Brain

01:27:34 • 2min

32

How to Engage in Conversation

01:29:25 • 4min

33

How Do We Change Our Institutions?

01:33:03 • 5min

34

What Is Change Over Time?

01:38:13 • 2min

35

Why Do Institutions Rot?

01:40:25 • 4min

36

Is There a Bozo Explosion?

01:44:08 • 6min

37

The Idea of Elits Is Used Almost Always Incorrectly

01:50:01 • 5min

38

The Atletes Are Different From the Experts

01:54:58 • 1min

39

Is Davos Man a Socialite?

01:56:17 • 3min

40

Is There a Status Class, Statusites, or Statusites?

01:58:50 • 2min

41

Big Shots - The Key Axis, Right?

02:00:34 • 2min

42

Global Hegemony and Global Bigshot Culture

02:02:27 • 2min

43

Do You Think the Global Mob Will Be Popular?

02:04:17 • 3min

44

The Global Big Shot Class

02:06:49 • 3min

45

What Are the Consequences of This Growing Homogeneity?

02:10:18 • 2min

46

The Rise and Fall of the Industrial Revolution

02:12:19 • 4min

47

What's the Moral Panic?

02:15:56 • 2min

48

How Do We Counter Incentivise More Competition?

02:18:17 • 3min

49

Is There a Reverse Fertility Decline?

02:21:21 • 2min

50

Is There a Way to Inspire and Empower Contrarions?

02:23:10 • 4min

51

The Most Important Argument of All - Decentralization

02:26:59 • 3min