Humanity on the precipice (Toby Ord)

1

Introduction

00:00 • 2min

2

The Precipice, Acidental Risk and the Future of Humanity

01:35 • 3min

3

Toby, What Prompted the Shift in Focus?

04:07 • 4min

4

Is There a Threat to Our Future?

07:43 • 3min

5

Is Existential Risk a Threat to Humanity?

10:19 • 3min

6

Is Humanity the Key Agent?

13:22 • 2min

7

The Risk of Climate Change Is Extremely Severe

15:37 • 5min

8

I Could Be Wrong, but I'm Not Sure

20:20 • 2min

9

The Risk From Advanced Artificial Intelligence

22:13 • 5min

10

Is There a Social Pressure to Worry About Risks From AI?

26:47 • 2min

11

Artificial Intelligence

28:40 • 4min

12

Are We Trying to Reduce Our Risks From a I?

32:18 • 4min

13

Is There a Common Probability Error in Climate Change?

35:52 • 2min

14

How Do You Estimate the Base Rate of Accidental Risks?

37:32 • 5min

15

The Chance of Natural Risk Overseas

42:07 • 3min

16

How to Use Near Misses in Estimates of Probability

45:35 • 2min

17

Nuclear War - Is There a Three in Four Chance?

47:12 • 5min

18

How to Calculate the Probability of Near Misses of Asteroids

52:17 • 3min

19

Effective Altruism and Global Health

55:31 • 3min

20

Is Long Termism a Good Idea?

58:37 • 3min

21

The Importance of Preserving Humanity's Long Term Potential

01:01:49 • 4min

22

The Environment and the Moral Revolution

01:06:09 • 3min