2min chapter

Rationally Speaking Podcast cover image

Humanity on the precipice (Toby Ord)

Rationally Speaking Podcast

CHAPTER

I Could Be Wrong, but I'm Not Sure

There's a weird disconnect that i've noticed where people talk about the modal probability outcome of climate changes if it's axistentially bad. But they could be talking about the 90 fifth percentile outcome of climate change, and that might actually be accidentally bad but it's unclear. It is a complex message to say climate change on the whole, you know, with the most likely senarios are going to be somewhere between good and extremely bad or something. And even though that's a small chance and one that's very hard to quantify, that could still be the most important thing about it.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode