Bought Shares Targeting $54.20
- I bought Twitter shares in the $30–$40 range aiming for $54.20 per share.
- I followed legal and media signals and increased exposure as my conviction grew.
Public Remarks Move Markets
- Elon Musk's public comments during a Tesla call pushed Twitter's price in after-hours trading.
- Market-moving remarks from key actors can sharply alter merger-arb spreads.
Bot Claim Looked Like A Pretext
- Musk's demand to prove bots <5% was not a clear contractual exit for the merger.
- Traders viewed the bot claim as a negotiating pretext rather than a legal basis to void the deal.
In 2022 Elon Musk signed an agreement to purchase Twitter. Then all hell broke loose. This episode is about that merger, the investors that traded it, and the most valuable Twitter follow to come out of the saga.
Guests:
Chris DeMuth - Rangeley Capital
https://twitter.com/ChrisDeMuthJr
Evan Tindell - Bireme Capital
https://twitter.com/evantindell
Chance, Editor in Chief of The Chancery Daily
https://twitter.com/chancery_daily
Media Clips Used:
Tesla 3rd Quarter Earnings Call
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c_SOWBDCQnM
David Faber, CNBC
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycx4b9-2nFU
Yahoo News, Biden Administration Reviewing Twitter Deal
https://www.yahoo.com/video/u-weighs-security-review-musks-010913575.html
Carolyn Berger Appearance on CNBC
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2022/07/13/twitter-is-in-a-very-strong-position-to-be-on-the-winning-side-says-ret-delaware-supreme-court-justice.html
Elon Musk Sold Zip2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s9mczdODqzo
Peter Thiel Comments on Elon
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y11uX8X6iz4
Tesla Shareholder Meeting
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49e7LrxS3FQ&feature=emb_title
SEC Sues Musk Over Funding Secured Tweets
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bjqp7LTb2B4&t=56s