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Bad Hypotheses Are Killing Your Experimentation Program

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Jul 12, 2023
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ANECDOTE

T-Shirt Cannon Story About Fit And Context

  • Shiva compares t-shirt cannons at events to free but often unwanted outcomes to open the episode with humor.
  • The story illustrates how context and fit matter, mirroring experimentation choices.
INSIGHT

Vague Redesign Hypotheses Fail

  • Vague hypotheses like "we'll redesign the site" fail because they don't specify testable changes or outcomes.
  • Good hypotheses require clarity on what changes are made and which metrics will show impact.
ADVICE

Always Ground Hypotheses In Research

  • Base hypotheses on research and observed data, not on copying competitors or gut feelings.
  • Include the observation, the tactical change, and the success KPI when documenting the hypothesis.
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