#237
Mentioned in 79 episodes
The Black Swan
The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Book • 2005
The Black Swan is a landmark book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb that investigates the phenomenon of highly improbable events with massive impacts.
These events, termed Black Swans, are unpredictable, have a significant impact, and are rationalized after the fact to appear less random.
Taleb argues that humans are hardwired to focus on specifics rather than generalities, leading to a failure to consider what we don’t know.
The book delves into cognitive biases, the limitations of mathematical models, and the importance of robustness and antifragility in navigating a world filled with uncertainty.
The second edition includes a new essay, 'On Robustness and Fragility,' offering tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
These events, termed Black Swans, are unpredictable, have a significant impact, and are rationalized after the fact to appear less random.
Taleb argues that humans are hardwired to focus on specifics rather than generalities, leading to a failure to consider what we don’t know.
The book delves into cognitive biases, the limitations of mathematical models, and the importance of robustness and antifragility in navigating a world filled with uncertainty.
The second edition includes a new essay, 'On Robustness and Fragility,' offering tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
Mentioned by
Mentioned in 79 episodes
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Mentioned by Matt Mullenweg as one of the seminal dystopian novels in modern times.
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Mentioned by 
Chris Williamson when discussing the importance of knowing when to stop in the pursuit of success.
Chris Williamson when discussing the importance of knowing when to stop in the pursuit of success.
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Ep. 279: Confronting Overload
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Cal Newport in relation to generating creative ideas, citing Taleb's advice on the importance of social interaction and serendipitous encounters.
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Ep. 262: Creativity Hacking
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David Senra in relation to seizing opportunities and the importance of recognizing lucky breaks.
David Senra in relation to seizing opportunities and the importance of recognizing lucky breaks.
374 snips
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Mentioned by 
Jocko Willink in relation to the concept of 'black swans' and their relevance to negotiation.
Jocko Willink in relation to the concept of 'black swans' and their relevance to negotiation.
372 snips
354: Everything in Life Is A Negotiation. With Chris Voss.
Mentioned by 
Nassim Nicholas Taleb when discussing the fragility of environments and what can have cascading effects from shocks.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb when discussing the fragility of environments and what can have cascading effects from shocks.
340 snips
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Mentioned by 
Tim Ferriss as a book by Nassim Taleb, exploring the impact of rare and unpredictable events.
Tim Ferriss as a book by Nassim Taleb, exploring the impact of rare and unpredictable events.288 snips
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Mentioned by Speaker 1 as one of Nassim Nicholas Taleb's books.
204 snips
#701: In Case You Missed It: September 2023 Recap of "The Tim Ferriss Show"
Mentioned by 
Sahil Bloom when discussing how to choose people to work with, referencing Taleb's work on overcoming biases.
Sahil Bloom when discussing how to choose people to work with, referencing Taleb's work on overcoming biases.
176 snips
Simplify Decision Making, Reduce Stress and Improve Your Life with Sahil Bloom
