Macro Mondays

Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold of Steno Research break down the latest news and trends driving the latest drawdown in global risk assets. They dig into the unfinished China trade deal, persistent liquidity pressures, and whether this all sets the stage for a Fed rate cut in December.🔥 *Join the waitlist: https://rvtv.io/3IQ5Bs6* About Real Vision™:We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey.Connect with Real Vision™ Online:Website: https://www.realvision.com/joinTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramLinkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedinDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf

Dive into the latest macro insights as experts tackle pressing issues like liquidity and the US government shutdown. Discover intriguing details about Nancy Pelosi's impressive investment track record. Learn how SOFR spikes can impact markets and risk assets, including Bitcoin and tech stocks. The duo explores the potential effects of a government reopening on market liquidity. Plus, find out how bad macro data might turn into a bullish setup for traders. All this while outlining the US game plan for debt and growth.

Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold of Steno Research dissect the latest macro news and trends driving global markets. The Fed cut rates as expected, but was Powell’s hawkish tone a surprise?🔥 *Join the waitlist: https://rvtv.io/3IQ5Bs6* About Real Vision™:We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey.Connect with Real Vision™ Online:Website: https://www.realvision.com/joinTwitter: https://rvtv.io/twitterInstagram: https://rvtv.io/instagramLinkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedinDisclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf

Dive into the latest tariff tensions as the hosts unpack renewed talks with China and Canada. They reveal how China's rare earths leverage impacts global markets and explore Western strategies to secure alternative supply chains. The conversation shifts to inflation, dissecting fresh CPI data and its implications on market dynamics. Discover how tariffs are gradually affecting consumer prices and why political shocks are becoming routine for investors. Plus, a look at silver's future as a trade and the potential for increased liquidity.

Hosts dissect the possibility of an AI bubble as unprofitable tech stocks surge amid easing monetary policy. They debate the growth-over-revenue mentality in Silicon Valley, noting how retail investors are pushing the market while institutions remain cautious. The discussion touches on the impact of recent tweets on market volatility and inflated tariff fears that may only slightly affect GDP. Insights on Q4 predictions highlight lighter crypto positioning and the potential for significant volatility spikes ahead.

In recent market trends, Bitcoin is making headlines with its impressive rally, while Japan faces political shifts affecting its bond market. A surprising dip in labor data raises questions about the Fed's priorities. Discussions highlight the realistic expectations for Bitcoin investments and the ongoing demand for copper driven by China’s electrification. The podcast also delves into energy challenges for AI and data centers, emphasizing the crucial need for electricity as a bottleneck. Portfolio strategies signal a bullish outlook amid easing inflation.

Dive into the wild weekend crypto flash crash, where liquidity shortages triggered a dramatic downturn. Analyze whether this dip offers a prime buying opportunity, distinguishing between institutional and retail strategies. Explore the implications of new H-1B fees on tech startups, alongside tensions in Russian airspace and their effects on European defense. Delve into market quirks, investment opportunities in gold and miners, and the shifting dynamics of the dollar as a reserve currency.

Market analysts delve into the upcoming Fed interest rate decision, questioning why the current U.S. equity rally is deemed the 'most hated' on Wall Street. They explore AI-driven capital expenditure's potential to reshape the business landscape and discuss the complex dynamics of U.S.-China trade relations. The conversation shifts to dollar positioning and its implications for crypto and risk assets, all while navigating uncertainties in the economic climate.

The hosts delve into the recent weak jobs report, raising eyebrows about the future of rate cuts and market stability. They explore the complexities of the U.S. labor market, revealing slow job growth amid layoffs. Political crises in France, the UK, and Japan are analyzed for their impact on investment strategies. Plus, there’s a spotlight on oil dynamics that could lead to lucrative opportunities. Historical comparisons, especially involving Donald Trump, add a compelling twist to today's economic narrative.

The hosts dissect Jerome Powell’s pivotal speech at Jackson Hole, revealing its impact on markets. They discuss Trump’s tactics to sway the Federal Open Market Committee and the subsequent implications for policy. Insights into U.S. equity flows and crypto volatility are explored, alongside the surprising resilience of the U.S. market amidst geopolitical tensions and the Chinese stock rally. Listeners are encouraged to rethink the potential of U.S. assets as skepticism grows in other markets.