Macro Mondays Fed Cuts, Flash Crash, and Geopolitics
38 snips
Sep 23, 2025 Dive into the wild weekend crypto flash crash, where liquidity shortages triggered a dramatic downturn. Analyze whether this dip offers a prime buying opportunity, distinguishing between institutional and retail strategies. Explore the implications of new H-1B fees on tech startups, alongside tensions in Russian airspace and their effects on European defense. Delve into market quirks, investment opportunities in gold and miners, and the shifting dynamics of the dollar as a reserve currency.
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Buy Liquidity-Driven Crypto Dips
- When you see crypto flash-crash price action in thin-hours, consider deploying cash to buy the dip.
- Andreas Steno says these are often liquidity air pockets, not fundamental changes, so act if you have dry powder.
Retail-Institution Divergence In Crypto Equities
- Digital-asset equities have outperformed underlying crypto, signaling a retail-institution divergence.
- Andreas Steno sees institutional positioning as muted while retail carries more exuberant bets.
H-1B Fee Likely A Marginal Macro Shock
- Don’t overstate macro risk from the new H-1B fee; the annual cap is small relative to US monthly job creation.
- Andreas Steno suggests companies that really need talent can still pay the fee, so impact is marginal.