Macro Mondays Are We in an AI Bubble?
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Oct 21, 2025 Hosts dissect the possibility of an AI bubble as unprofitable tech stocks surge amid easing monetary policy. They debate the growth-over-revenue mentality in Silicon Valley, noting how retail investors are pushing the market while institutions remain cautious. The discussion touches on the impact of recent tweets on market volatility and inflated tariff fears that may only slightly affect GDP. Insights on Q4 predictions highlight lighter crypto positioning and the potential for significant volatility spikes ahead.
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Maniac Market Ahead Driven By Easing Policy
- Andreas argues we're likely in a maniac market phase with six to nine months of strong but volatile gains ahead.
- Easing monetary policy plus cyclical acceleration can sustain rallies in unprofitable tech despite weak fundamentals.
Why Unprofitable Tech Can Run Now
- Non-profitable tech tends to outperform during easing monetary policy and cyclical recoveries, as seen in 1999 and 2020.
- That pattern explains current strength in AI and other speculative tech names despite lacking near-term profits.
Avoid Off-Hours Political Surprises
- Avoid treating 24/7 market hours as neutral; political weekend moves can trigger outsized volatility.
- Monitor off-hours geopolitical signals before positioning into Monday trading, Andreas warns.