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Forward Guidance

Latest episodes

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Jul 23, 2024 • 1h 16min

How U.S. Treasury Is Fighting The Fed | Nouriel Roubini & Stephen Miran on Treasury’s $800 Billion of “Stealth QE” via “Activist Treasury Issuance” (ATI)

Economist Nouriel Roubini & financial analyst Stephen Miran discuss 'Activist Treasury Issuance', its impact on asset values, avoiding a recession, and potential divergence from the Fed's policy. They delve into the history of Treasury's policies and the implications of unconventional fiscal policy.
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Jul 22, 2024 • 1h 12min

Banks Are Cleaning House Of Their Bad Assets | Chris Whalen

Expert in banking outlook, Chris Whalen, discusses the banking sector's cleaning house of bad assets, Basel III potential shelving, and impacts on sentiment in China. Topics include capital markets picking up, smaller banks outpacing larger ones, private credit, and the Chinese shadow banking system.
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Jul 18, 2024 • 1h 32min

China Is Exporting Unemployment | Michael Pettis on Global Trade Imbalances, American Capital Controls, and the End of The Chinese Growth Miracle

Michael Pettis, financial expert, discusses China's investment-driven growth model, challenges in increasing consumption, comparisons to Japan's economic decline, impact of trade surpluses on deficit countries, and the fallacy of 'trade is always good' mindset among economists.
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Jul 15, 2024 • 1h 26min

Peter Boockvar on an Overheated Stock Market, China’s Green Shoots, and the Private Credit Bezzle

Financial expert Peter Boockvar discusses economic worries, AI's impact on the stock market, Japan, China, and the risks of private credit. Topics include recession indicators, stock market valuations, AI's revenue use cases, Chinese economy, and private market investments.
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Jul 11, 2024 • 1h 30min

Airline Revenues Are Soaring. Their Profits Are Not | Planes And Trains Expert Jay Shabat on Depressed Railroad Volumes And Global Air Traffic

Planes and trains expert Jay Shabat discusses the decline in railroad volumes, impact of service-based economy, and profitability factors. He also explores challenges in the aviation market, effects of strong US dollar on airlines, Alaska Airlines' success story, and sale leaseback model in the industry.
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Jul 8, 2024 • 1h 24min

Why The Chinese Real Estate Downturn Won’t Sink The Chinese Economy | Ben Harburg

Ben Harburg discusses the Chinese real estate market, debunking fears of an economic collapse. Topics include consumer behavior favoring domestic brands, comparison of investing in India and China, analysis of unemployment rates, investment opportunities in Chinese companies, fintech regulations, and economic stimulus measures.
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Jul 2, 2024 • 1h 19min

BCG Chief Economist: Artificial Intelligence Will Displace Labor | Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak on Economic False Alarms and Solar Flare Black Swans

BCG Chief Economist discusses economic false alarms, sovereign debt threats, AI displacing labor productivity, preparing for material economic threats, U.S./China tensions, and the black swan event of a solar flare. Emphasizes the importance of narratives in understanding economic recovery prospects and the complexities of macro risk assessment.
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Jun 27, 2024 • 1h 1min

“Accident Brewing” | Neil Dutta on Rising Slowdown Risks And Why He Thinks The Fed Will Cut Sooner Rather Than Later

Neil Dutta, an expert on economic trends and monetary policy, discusses the risks of a recession, why he believes the Fed will cut rates before the election, and the preference for bonds over stocks. He also explores the potential impact of disinflation, weakening labor market indicators, and speculations on the election outcome's influence on fiscal policies.
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Jun 25, 2024 • 1h 29min

Oil & Crypto Trader Jonah van Bourg: Altcoins Going to Zero, Bitcoin Bull Move Is Just Getting Started, and Oil Vol Is Overpriced

Trader Jonah VanBorg discusses the bullish outlook of Bitcoin, the worthlessness of most altcoins, and the rise of stablecoins in the crypto market. He also shares insights on the oil market, including spare capacity, selling options, bullish distillates, and the prospects of oil refineries. Additionally, he touches on topics like natural gas, uranium, gold, and fiat debasement in relation to Bitcoin.
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Jun 24, 2024 • 1h 9min

The Next Big Thing In Capital Markets | David Goone

David Goone, CEO of tZERO, discusses trends in capital markets, online trading growth, unlocking liquidity for alternative assets, and the development of tZERO. Topics include the shift from LIBOR to SOFR, using acquisition as a growth strategy, providing liquidity for venture capital, and building a brand reputation as an alternative exchange.

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