The ECB Podcast

Inflation is falling, but it’s still higher than we want it to be. What’s making it hard to tackle? And what will determine how prices and wages develop? Our host Katie Ranger gets to the bottom of this with our Chief Economist Philip R. Lane in our new Summer School mini-series. The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank. Published on 4 August 2023 and recorded on 27 July 2023. Additional material Consumer Expectations Survey https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/ecb_surveys/consumer_exp_survey/html/index.en.html Economic Bulletin: Underlying inflation measures: an analytical guide for the euro area https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/economic-bulletin/focus/2023/html/ecb.ebbox202305_05~84e89bcb5d.en.html The ECB Podcast: are wages and greedflation really pushing up prices? June 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvservices/podcast/html/ecb.pod230623_episode62.en.html Our monetary policy statement at a glance – July 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/visual-mps/2023/html/mopo_statement_explained_july.en.html

Today our Governing Council decided on monetary policy, determining what’s needed to achieve stable prices in the euro area. Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today’s decisions. The statement also covers: - how the economy is performing - how we expect prices to develop - the risks to the economic outlook - the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions Published and recorded during our press conference on 27 July 2023. European Central Bank https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html You can also listen to The ECB Podcast on SoundCloud, Spotify, Deezer, Stitcher, YouTube, Amazon Music and many more pod.link/ecbpodcast Additional material: Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 27 July 2023 [link to visual monetary policy statement] Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement, 27 July 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/2023/html/ecb.is230727~e0a11feb2e.en.html Monetary policy decisions, 27 July 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.mp230727~da80cfcf24.en.html Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 27 July 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/shared/pdf/ecb.ds230727~9e147b657d.en.pdf

How are changes in energy markets affecting people’s daily lives? And how can we make our economies more resilient to these shocks? Our host Katie Ranger discusses recent developments in energy markets and their impact on our economies with Norges Bank Governor Ida Wolden Bache while at the ECB Forum on Central Banking. Published on 29 June 2023 and recorded on 27 June 2023. ECB Forum on Central Banking 2023 – programme https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/conferences/html/20230626_ecb_forum_on_central_banking.en.html European Central Bank www.ecb.europa.eu

How stable is the global economic recovery? And is geoeconomic fragmentation a threat? Gita Gopinath, the IMF’s First Deputy Managing Director, joins our host Katie Ranger on the ECB Podcast to discuss these and other questions while at the ECB Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal. Published on 27 June 2023 and recorded on 27 June 2023. Further reading: Three Uncomfortable Truths For Monetary Policy - Remarks by Gita Gopinath at the ECB Forum on Central Banking, 26 June 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/conferences/ecbforum/shared/pdf/2023/Gopinath_speech.pdf Three Uncomfortable Truths For Monetary Policy - Presentation by Gita Gopinath at the ECB Forum on Central Banking, 26 June 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/conferences/ecbforum/shared/pdf/2023/Gopinath_presentation.pdf IMF’s world economic outlook 2023 https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2023/04/11/world-economic-outlook-april-2023 IMF’s report on geoeconomic fragmentation and the future of multilateralism https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Staff-Discussion-Notes/Issues/2023/01/11/Geo-Economic-Fragmentation-and-the-Future-of-Multilateralism-527266 ECB Forum on Central Banking 2023 – programme https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/conferences/html/20230626_ecb_forum_on_central_banking.en.html Link to Gita Gopinath's opening speech, 26th of June: https://youtube.com/live/wbIbpItoOT4?feature=share European Central Bank www.ecb.europa.eu

What is the risk of a wage-price spiral? How long will we go on raising interest rates? And are companies’ high profits fuelling inflation? Our host Katie Ranger discusses these questions with our Chief Economist Philip R. Lane on The ECB Podcast. The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank. Published on 23 June 2023 and recorded on 20 June 2023. In this episode: 1:20 – The ECB’s latest monetary policy decisions Why are we raising interest rates again and when will we reach the right rate to bring inflation down to our 2% target? 6:56 – Underlying versus headline inflation: what’s the difference? What do we understand by core, headline and underlying inflation, what role do energy prices play, and which way is inflation going? 15:02 – The risk of a wage-price spiral What is the risk of a wage-price spiral, why can it be dangerous and how can we avoid it? 19:44 – The ‘’greedflation’’ phenomenon Are companies’ widening profit margins driving up inflation – and if so, how will this situation rebalance? 23:47 – Our guest’s hot tip Our guest, Philip R. Lane, recommends that our listeners take a look at the 2023 Young Economist Prize finalists’ papers – and tune in to the ECB Forum on Central Banking to hear the winner being announced. Further reading: The ECB Forum on Central Banking 2023 – Programme https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/conferences/html/20230626_ecb_forum_on_central_banking.en.html Meet the finalists of the 2023 Young Economist Prize https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/conferences/ecbforum/YE_competition/html/index.en.html Our monetary policy statement at a glance – June 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/visual-mps/2023/html/mopo_statement_explained_june.en.html European Central Bank www.ecb.europa.eu

Today our Governing Council decided on monetary policy, determining what’s needed to achieve stable prices in the euro area. Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today’s decisions. The statement also covers: - how the economy is performing - how we expect prices to develop - the risks to the economic outlook - the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions Published and recorded during our press conference on 15 June 2023. Additional material: Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 15 June 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/visual-mps/2023/html/mopo_statement_explained_june.en.html Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement (with Q&A), 15 June 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/2023/html/ecb.is230615~3de9d68335.en.html Monetary policy decisions, 15 June 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.mp230615~d34cddb4c6.en.html Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 15 June 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/shared/pdf/ecb.ds230615~19be62590b.en.pdf Macroeconomic projections, 15 June 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/projections/html/index.en.html European Central Bank https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html You can also listen to The ECB Podcast on SoundCloud, Spotify, Deezer, Stitcher, YouTube, Amazon Music and many more pod.link/ecbpodcast

How stable is our financial system? And what risks do we see for banks and property markets? Our host Katie Ranger delves into this topic with financial stability expert John Fell on The ECB Podcast. The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank. Published on 7 June 2023 and recorded on 2 June 2023. In this episode: 01:45 – Looking back at the last six months What is a positive thing that has happened during the last six months in the financial sector, and what events are worrying? 04:58 – How the bank failures and takeovers in the United States and Switzerland have affected euro area banks Why were some of these events a surprise, and how much impact have they had on euro area banks? 10:20 – Lessons learnt from the banking turmoil What issues has the turmoil raised, what lessons can be learnt from these events, and why did the speed and scale of bank runs stand out? 14:13 – Real estate markets Which way are housing markets going after the long boom cycle? 19:52 – Our guest’s hot tip Our guest, John Fell, shares two film recommendations with our listeners. Additional material: Financial Stability Review, May 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/financial-stability/fsr/html/index.en.html The ECB Podcast: Hacktivists, ransoms and cyberwar – threats for the financial system? December 2022 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvservices/podcast/html/ecb.pod221206_episode46.en.html The ECB Podcast: Is financial stability at risk in these stormy times? November 2022 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvservices/podcast/html/ecb.pod221124_episode45.en.html European Central Bank www.ecb.europa.eu You can also listen to The ECB Podcast on SoundCloud, Spotify, Deezer, Stitcher, YouTube, Amazon Music and many more pod.link/ecbpodcast

As part of the celebrations for the ECB’s 25th anniversary, ECB President Christine Lagarde looks back at a quarter of a century of commitment to price stability and working for a better Europe, and explores what might lie ahead. Published on 24 May 2023. Speech of President Lagarde https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2023/html/ecb.sp230524~4e026cefbc.en.html 25 years of euro united – The ECB Blog by President Christine Lagarde https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/blog/date/2023/html/ecb.blog.230524~ed0f2638c1.en.html Explainer: What the European Central Bank does and what it means for you https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/educational/explainers/tell-me-more/html/anniversary.en.html Explainer: Five things you need to know about the ECB https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/educational/explainers/tell-me-more/html/five_things.en.html Everyone needs stability – Introducing the ECB https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/educational/everyone-needs-stability/html/index.en.html European Central Bank www.ecb.europa.eu You can also listen to The ECB Podcast on SoundCloud, Spotify, Deezer, Stitcher, YouTube, Amazon Music and many more pod.link/ecbpodcast

How transparent do organisations need to be about climate risks, and why does it matter? Where do banks and the ECB stand on sharing this information? Our host Katie Ranger speaks with Executive Board member and Supervisory Board Vice-Chair Frank Elderson in this episode of The ECB Podcast. The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank. Published on 13 May 2023 and recorded on 8 May 2023. In this episode: 01:27 – What are climate disclosures and why do they matter? What information organisations should share about their climate-related risks, the forms these disclosures can take, and why they’re important for people, companies, investors and institutions. 05:52 – Greenwashing and making sure disclosures aren’t misleading How we can make sure organisations are acting – and not just sounding – green, and how to know if the climate information can be trusted. 13:32 – How well are banks disclosing their climate risks? What our latest report reveals about the progress banks have made in becoming more transparent when it comes to climate risks, and what we expect from them as their supervisor. 17:50 – The ECB’s own climate disclosures What our first set of climate disclosures shows about the carbon footprint of corporate bonds we bought as part of our monetary policy and other investments. 22:38 – Our guest’s hot tip Additional material: Press release: Banks must continue improving climate risk disclosures as new EU rules take effect, ECB report shows https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ssm.pr230421~213bf10fbe.en.html Press release: ECB starts disclosing climate impact of portfolios on road to Paris-alignment https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.pr230323~05efc3cf49.en.html Explainer: What are climate disclosures? https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/educational/explainers/html/what-are-climate-disclosures.en.html Speech by Frank Elderson: Policymakers as policy takers – accounting for climate-related and environmental factors in banking supervision and monetary policy https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2023/html/ecb.sp230421~489cd977e0.en.html The ECB Podcast: Greening the financial system: milestones in our climate change journey, 9 July 2022 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvservices/podcast/html/ecb.pod220709_episode36.en.html Climate change and banking supervision https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/about/climate/html/index.en.html Climate change and the ECB https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/climate/html/index.en.html European Central Bank www.ecb.europa.eu European Banking Supervision www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu

Today our Governing Council decided on monetary policy, determining what’s needed to achieve stable prices in the euro area. Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today’s decisions. The statement also covers: - how the economy is performing - how we expect prices to develop - the risks to the economic outlook - the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions Published and recorded during our press conference on 4 May 2023. Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 4 May 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/visual-mps/2023/html/mopo_statement_explained_may.en.html Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement (with Q&A), 4 May 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/2023/html/ecb.is230504~f242392c72.en.html Monetary policy decisions, 4 May 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2023/html/ecb.mp230504~cdfd11a697.en.html Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 4 May 2023 https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pressconf/shared/pdf/ecb.ds230504~3751d33d72.en.pdf European Central Bank https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html You can also listen to The ECB Podcast on SoundCloud, Spotify, Deezer, Stitcher, YouTube, Amazon Music and many more pod.link/ecbpodcast