The Rate Guy
The Rate Guy Podcast is hosted by JP Conklin of Pensford. It's an irreverent insight into interest rates and current markets and how they impact the Commercial Real Estate and Multifamily industries.
Latest episodes
Jul 14, 2025 • 17min
Bond Buying Baby
On this week's episode of The Rate Guy we discuss this week's inflation data, GDP, the effect of the Big Beautiful Bill on the 10T and could QE be an option to cutting rates.
Jul 6, 2025 • 15min
The Big Beautiful Job Market
On this episode of The Rate Guy we talk about the Job data and why it's skewed - per usual. We also discuss when and why the next rate cut may come, plus where the 10T will be at the end of 2025. Thoughts and prayers to our friends in Texas and the victims of the devistating flood. Wishing you the strength as you navigate really tough territory.
Jun 30, 2025 • 17min
Wall Street Meet Socialism
On this episod of The Rate Guy we discuss Jobs, Inflation, GDP and what options traders are flocking to at the moment and why.
Jun 22, 2025 • 14min
The Uncertainty Bends Continue
On this episode of The Rate Guy we talk about how markets are responding to the Iran conflict, how it could affect inflation and the Fed's next move as we look at the last half of 2025.
Jun 15, 2025 • 24min
What The Fed Will Do This Week (and The Next 12 Months)
On this episode of The Rate Guy, we talk about who might replace Jay$ as Fed Chair and what that could mean for the future of monetary policy. Then JP dusts off his crystal ball to give his outlook on where the Fed and interest rates are headed over the next 12 months.
Jun 8, 2025 • 23min
Jobs, Schmobs
Dive into the latest jobs report as hosts analyze what the numbers really mean for inflation and why the Fed is hesitant on rate cuts. Experience a colorful Twitter showdown featuring public figures on economic contradictions, adding some humor to serious economic matters. Discover shocking revisions in job growth statistics and their impacts on workforce sentiment. Plus, get insights into the curious behavior of the U.S. Treasury market and speculations leading up to the Fed's meeting!
May 26, 2025 • 48min
The Tail That Wagged The Dog
On this episode of The Rate Guy we discuss the mini-revolt happening at the long end of the curve, how tariffs are effecting the deficit and how sometimes the best cure for inflation is inflation.
May 19, 2025 • 20min
The Lingering Effects of Trust Issues
On this episode of The Rate Guy we talk about consumer sentiment of the top 10%, inflation's current status and how tarrifs are affecting the economy as a whole.
May 5, 2025 • 21min
Fed Meeting Primer
This discussion dives into the latest economic indicators, revealing unexpected trends in inflation and GDP. The possibility of a rate cut creates a thrilling 50/50 uncertainty as the Fed convenes. They analyze the peculiar impact of tariffs, noting it's a shock the market hasn't faced before. With insights from experts like Mohammed El-Erian, the hosts unravel the complexities of today's economic landscape. Job growth concerns are examined, alongside casual commentary on how these factors affect personal finances and market behavior.
Apr 27, 2025 • 1h 15min
Trump Blink Counter : 2 and Special Guest Interview with J Mo
On this episode of The Rate Guy we discuss the back and forth around Jerome Powell's fate and the impact that has had on the Market. After that we have a special interview with the great friend and even better sport, Jon Morris aka JMo. We hear his thoughts on career, current markets and where our industry is headed.
