Risk of Ruin

Half Kelly Media
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18 snips
Dec 26, 2023 • 49min

Waiting on Value

Evan Tindell is a former poker player and now is the CIO of Bireme Capital. He talks about how he got into the market, and also his value investing based process for finding investments.Follow Evan on Twitter:https://twitter.com/evantindellBireme Capital Blog Post on Meta:https://www.biremecapital.com/blog/pounding-the-table-on-metaRisk of Ruin Podcast Newsletter:https://riskofruinpod.substack.com/Email the show risk of ruin pod at gmail.Follow the show on Twitter:https://twitter.com/halfkelly
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23 snips
Oct 20, 2023 • 1h 46min

Rocket Man

In 2022 Elon Musk signed an agreement to purchase Twitter. Then all hell broke loose. This episode is about that merger, the investors that traded it, and the most valuable Twitter follow to come out of the saga.Guests:Chris DeMuth - Rangeley Capitalhttps://twitter.com/ChrisDeMuthJrEvan Tindell - Bireme Capitalhttps://twitter.com/evantindellChance, Editor in Chief of The Chancery Dailyhttps://twitter.com/chancery_dailyMedia Clips Used:Tesla 3rd Quarter Earnings Callhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c_SOWBDCQnMDavid Faber, CNBChttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ycx4b9-2nFUYahoo News, Biden Administration Reviewing Twitter Dealhttps://www.yahoo.com/video/u-weighs-security-review-musks-010913575.htmlCarolyn Berger Appearance on CNBChttps://www.cnbc.com/video/2022/07/13/twitter-is-in-a-very-strong-position-to-be-on-the-winning-side-says-ret-delaware-supreme-court-justice.htmlElon Musk Sold Zip2https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s9mczdODqzoPeter Thiel Comments on Elonhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y11uX8X6iz4Tesla Shareholder Meetinghttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=49e7LrxS3FQ&feature=emb_titleSEC Sues Musk Over Funding Secured Tweetshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bjqp7LTb2B4&t=56s
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Oct 20, 2023 • 1h 24min

The Mayfair Revisited

Erik Seidel and Steve Zolotow were among the gamblers to come out of the storied Mayfair Club in New York City. The Mayfair inspired some of the locations in Rounders, and is also known for the breadth of success that its players have had in poker. The episode covers the history of the club, its bridge and backgammon roots, and the careers of Erik and Steve.Special thanks to Larry Bernstein.Email the show: Risk of ruin pod at gmailTwitter: @halfkellyFollow Erik on Twitter: @Erik_Seidel
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5 snips
Oct 18, 2023 • 1h 2min

A Family Business

Jim and Dan Pasko talk about their father and son sportsbetting operation. The Paskos use math to find positive EV bets like correlated parlays and player props. Jim Pasko has been a professional gambler for almost his entire adult life, first starting as a backgammon player during the heyday of that game. Dan joined him in professional gambling when they found opportunities with the early internet sportsbooks.Follow Dan on Twitter: @dan_paskoFollow the show on Twitter: @halfkellyEmail the show: risk of ruin pod at gmail.
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5 snips
Oct 16, 2023 • 47min

The Game-like Aspect

Kai talks about leaving the work world behind in favor of early retirement, and the part time pursuit of bank and credit card bonuses. He also discusses Lean FIRE (Financial Independence Retire Early) and how churning bonuses fits into his FIRE plan.Kai's podcast: The Daily Churnhttps://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-daily-churn/id1577648675Email the show: riskofruinpod@gmail.comTwitter: @halfkelly
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Aug 19, 2023 • 58min

The Frontier - Part II

This podcast explores the emotional challenges of downswings in poker and how it translates to life's ups and downs. It discusses the unique style of play of a player named Phil the Rabbi and its impact on the poker game. The episode also delves into taking high-risk positions in mergers, the challenges faced by the media when reporting on legal proceedings, the allure and risks of short selling, a story about shorting the stock of Abbott, and the experiences and strategies of advantage players.
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Aug 17, 2023 • 1h 10min

The Frontier - Part I

The podcast discusses advantage play, covering topics such as the rise and fall of LTCM, learning to count cards in blackjack, transitioning to video poker, winning strategies on slot machines, exploiting loopholes for financial gain, discovering loopholes in travel and sports betting promotions, and the allure of NFL betting.
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15 snips
May 6, 2023 • 45min

Bill Perkins is Not Afraid

Bill Perkins is a natural gas trader, a minor celebrity in the poker world, and the author of "Die With Zero." Bill talks about his start in the markets and becoming an energy trader. He tells the story of almost blowing up during an extremely cold winter.Links:Die With Zerohttps://www.diewithzerobook.com/Bill's Twitterhttps://twitter.com/bp22Bill's Instagramhttps://www.instagram.com/billperkins/?hl=enWSJ Article titled "The Last Cowboy"https://www.wsj.com/articles/bill-perkins-is-the-last-cowboy-betting-on-volatile-gas-markets-1501844400Email the show:riskofruinpod@gmail.comTwitterhttps://twitter.com/halfkelly
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May 1, 2023 • 1h 13min

The Disrespected

Marc Cohodes was the subject of the prior episode titled "Life's Too Short." Marc returns to the podcast to talk about figuring out the FTX scheme, using that to short Silvergate, and Signature Banks, and also the banking turmoil that has followed.Follow Marc on Twitter:https://twitter.com/AlderLaneEggsLife's Too Shorthttps://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lifes-too-short/id1527018692?i=1000498472731Odd Lots episode with Sam Bankman-Friedhttps://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/sam-bankman-fried-and-matt-levine-on-how-the/id1056200096?i=1000531062191Alan Lane on the Pomp Podcasthttps://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/alan-lane-ceo-of-silvergate-why-bitcoiners-shouldnt/id1434060078?i=1000457223824Risk of Ruin Newsletterhttps://riskofruinpod.substack.com/Follow the show on Twitter: https://twitter.com/halfkelly
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Feb 16, 2023 • 1h 5min

Rabbit Hole

An episode about the ever elusive idea of winning at craps using physical skill, aka dice control. Guests: Advantage player Frank B., PhD economist Robert Scott, and special guest Richard Munchkin.Risk of Ruin Newsletter: https://riskofruinpod.substack.com/Links: Robert Scott's papers on dice controlhttps://digitalscholarship.unlv.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1375&context=grrjhttps://digitalscholarship.unlv.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1415&context=grrjGambling With an Edge episodes on dice control:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8iWapKXDCH0https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gambling-with-an-edge-guest-frank-b-on-dice-control/id459476611?i=1000520531943http://www.slot-machine-resource.com/podcasts/kc.mp3

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