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Odd Lots

Latest episodes

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Oct 7, 2024 • 57min

The Math That Explains How Multi-Strategy Hedge Funds Make Money

Dan Morillo, co-founder of Freestone Grove Partners and former partner at Citadel, dives into the fascinating world of multi-strategy hedge funds. He clarifies the differences among fund business models and discusses the importance of selecting the right portfolio managers. The conversation touches on managing crowding risk with a poker analogy and the intricacies of compensation structures affecting trader performance. Morillo also highlights the balance between quantitative analysis and intuition, emphasizing the value of team dynamics in optimizing returns.
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Oct 4, 2024 • 31min

Lots More on the Ongoing Mess That Is Intel

Stacy Rasgon from Bernstein Research and Mackenzie Hawkins from Bloomberg News delve into the turmoil at Intel, the largest U.S. semiconductor manufacturer. They discuss the company's struggles with fab operations, missed opportunities, and the need for substantial government support. The duo highlights competitive pressures from TSMC and Samsung, as well as the impact of layoffs and market fluctuations. The conversation also touches on potential restructuring and strategic moves that could shape Intel's future in the semiconductor landscape.
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Oct 3, 2024 • 50min

The Big Tax Hike Coming in Just Over a Year

In a deep dive into U.S. tax policy, experts discuss the impending expiration of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in 2026, which may lead to increased taxes for millions. The conversation highlights the political challenges of passing tax reforms and the economic implications for growth and inequality. It also touches on the disproportionate tax contributions of the wealthiest and how these changes will affect middle-class families and small businesses. Strategies for financial planning amidst shifting tax landscapes are explored, making it a timely conversation for everyone.
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Sep 30, 2024 • 45min

Jigar Shah on the Three Big Things Driving the Nuclear Energy Revival

Jigar Shah, a key advocate for nuclear energy and head of the Loan Programs Office at the Department of Energy, discusses the surprising restart of the Three Mile Island reactor. He sheds light on the factors reviving nuclear interest, like the Inflation Reduction Act and economic shifts. The conversation dives into the financial dynamics enabling Microsoft’s deal to buy clean energy from the site and explores the future potential of new reactor models. Shah also humorously compares future reactors to the simplicity of a Model T, emphasizing a renewed optimism in nuclear energy.
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Sep 27, 2024 • 25min

Lots More on Potentially Massive East Coast Port Strikes

In this discussion, Craig Fuller, founder and CEO of FreightWaves, dives into the looming threat of strikes at East Coast ports. He explains how these strikes could disrupt vital supply chains and impact the economy just ahead of the presidential election. The conversation covers the motivations behind the labor disputes, the role of automation versus labor needs, and the government's potential responses. With a humorous touch, Fuller emphasizes the fragility of shipping logistics and the critical importance of ports for various industries.
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Sep 26, 2024 • 50min

This Is How Industrial Policy Can Go Bad

Vivek Chibber, a professor at NYU and author known for his comparative analyses of economic development, discusses the current state of industrial policy in the U.S. He highlights the challenges of ensuring government investments lead to real industrial success rather than lining investor pockets. Chibber examines specific conditions needed for effective policy, critiques import substitution approaches, and reflects on the political dynamics shaping these strategies, all while drawing lessons from the experiences of countries like South Korea and India.
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Sep 23, 2024 • 42min

Ariel Investments' John Rogers on How You Can Still Win With Value Investing

John Rogers, founder and co-CEO of Ariel Investments, shares his insights on value investing and security selection. He emphasizes the ongoing relevance of picking undervalued mid- and small-cap stocks. Rogers discusses unique investment opportunities like The Sphere in Vegas and the company behind McDonald's McFlurry machines. He highlights the importance of in-depth research for 'orphan' stocks—those without analyst coverage—and reflects on the changing landscape of investment strategies as market dynamics shift.
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Sep 20, 2024 • 26min

Lots More With Sam Ro on the Booming World of RIAs

Sam Ro, author of the Tker.com newsletter, dives into the lively world of registered investment advisors (RIAs) during a beach festival in California. He discusses the rise of RIAs and their shift to independence, emphasizing community support. Ro highlights the nuances of financial media and the importance of information curation in advisor-client relationships. He also shares insights on behavioral finance's role in investment strategies and explores the unusual blend of music and finance, reminiscing about 90s bands and their cultural impact.
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Sep 19, 2024 • 48min

The Next Stage of the Credit Cycle with Oaktree’s Poli

Danielle Poli, co-portfolio manager at Oaktree Capital and a founding member of the firm’s investment committee, shares insights on the evolving credit cycle. The discussion revolves around the surprising resilience of corporate credit despite high rates and inflation. Poli explains how recent Fed rate cuts may reshape investment strategies. She delves into the booming private credit market, its implications for financing, and the impact of volatility on investment decisions. Tune in for a deep dive into navigating today’s complex financial landscape!
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Sep 18, 2024 • 47min

Pimco CIO Dan Ivascyn on the Biggest Fed Decision in Years

Dan Ivascyn, Group CIO at Pimco, manages one of the largest investment funds globally. He shares insights on the highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision regarding interest rates, weighing the chances between 25 and 50 basis point cuts. Ivascyn discusses the complexities of current financial conditions and how they affect bond investments. He highlights the evolving landscape of fixed income, the challenges of inflation, and the necessity for effective risk management in today’s volatile market. Is it time for bonds to shine again?

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