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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Latest episodes

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Jul 3, 2024 • 35min

The Push For A Biden Replacement Becomes Real

In this episode, Galen Druke discusses the growing concern among Democrats about Joe Biden's future as a candidate and the potential for a replacement, focusing on post-debate polling data, speculation about Kamala Harris as a nominee, and the implications of a transition in presidential nomination. The episode also covers Democratic worries over Biden's leadership, the role of Trump in the 2024 election, and breaking news about business leaders urging Biden to step down.
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Jul 1, 2024 • 47min

Presidential Immunity And More Debate Fallout

Law professor and former federal prosecutor Jessica Roth discusses the Supreme Court's ruling on presidential immunity. The fallout from President Biden's debate performance and Democrat strategy is also analyzed. The podcast delves into the legal complexities surrounding former President Trump's federal indictment and public opinion on presidential immunity.
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Jun 28, 2024 • 30min

Reaction Podcast: A Rough Debate For Biden

Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik analyze the first presidential debate between Biden and Trump. They discuss the impact on voter perceptions, Harris' electability, and the focus on taxes vs. inflation in campaign strategies.
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Jun 24, 2024 • 41min

What To Expect From The First Presidential Debate

In this podcast, the crew discusses the upcoming historical presidential debate between Biden and Trump, the impact of debates on voter decisions, the influence of social media on shaping opinions, voter categories, polling in swing states, white voter trends, and high-profile primary races in New York and Colorado.
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Jun 20, 2024 • 40min

Voters Around The World Are Mad As Hell

Global voter discontent is a rising trend discussed by Richard Wike and Matthias Matthijs. They explore anti-incumbent voting, economic factors in Mexico, compare economic policies in Argentina to the USA, and discuss the rise of far-right parties in European elections and political unrest in the US, UK, and France.
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Jun 17, 2024 • 39min

2024 Is Going To Be A Vibes Election

Senior Researcher Mary Radcliffe and Senior Elections Analyst Nathaniel Rakich discuss how the economy and abortion issues could influence voter opinions in 2024. Topics include inflation easing, Supreme Court upholding abortion medication access, potential presidential candidates, legal troubles impacting voter choices, and the concept of a 'vibes election'.
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Jun 13, 2024 • 43min

How Much AI Regulation Is The Right Amount?

Gregory Allen, Director of the Wadhwani Center for AI and Advanced Technologies, discusses the bipartisan roadmap for AI policy, the debate on regulating AI in different sectors like autonomous cars, challenges of transparency in AI algorithms, and the differing US and EU approaches to AI regulation. The podcast also delves into the impact of AI on elections, the political landscape around AI regulation, and considerations for the competitive AI landscape.
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Jun 11, 2024 • 40min

538’s New Forecast Says The Election Is A Toss-Up

G. Elliott Morris discusses the tight 2024 election forecast with potential wins for both Trump and Biden. They analyze polling biases, tipping point states, and the impact of third-party candidates on the election outcome.
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Jun 6, 2024 • 45min

Mr. Druke Goes to Washington

Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik discuss post-Trump polling trends and Biden's asylum order. They play election trivia drawing parallels to current politics.
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Jun 3, 2024 • 46min

The First Polls Since Trump’s Guilty Verdict Are In

Recent polls show a slight shift away from Trump in head-to-head polling with Biden post the guilty verdict. The podcast dives into upcoming Supreme Court decisions, playing a game of 'Guess What Americans Think: Supreme Court Edition.' Discussions also include public opinion on the current court and expectations for unbiased decisions on Trump's immunity case.

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