Election Dynamics and Convention Bounce

The current election cycle is characterized by significant developments such as RFK Jr. dropping out of the race and endorsing Trump, which complicates the landscape for voters. As polling averages indicate a slight lead for Kamala Harris over Trump, the potential for a convention bounce remains uncertain due to a lack of post-convention polling. The discussion highlights the difficulty of ascertaining any immediate effects on Harris' favorability, which has improved but not dramatically changed since her nomination. Observations suggest that Harris has gained support over time rather than experiencing a sudden surge, pointing to a more complex voter sentiment at play.