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More or Less: Behind the Stats

Latest episodes

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Oct 16, 2024 • 29min

When are numbers like a horse at a gymkhana?

Join Chris Mason, BBC's political editor, as he hilariously navigates live math challenges. Mathematician Rob Easterway offers clever tips for mental arithmetic, while Jack Fenwick clarifies myths about the UK's super-rich tax rates. Dan Needle sheds light on the complexities of high-income taxation and its implications. They dive into rising water bills versus industry claims, and discuss the impressive impact of HPV vaccinations on cervical cancer rates, showcasing how statistics shape our understanding of pressing issues.
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7 snips
Oct 12, 2024 • 9min

Uncertainty, probability and double yoked eggs

Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, an esteemed Emeritus Professor of Statistics at the University of Cambridge, discusses the art of conveying uncertainty and probability. He debunks the myth of double-yolked eggs, revealing they aren't as rare as many believe. Sir David shares insights on effective communication during crises, referencing the Bay of Pigs invasion and the lessons from the financial models after 2008. He emphasizes the need for transparency and humility in decision-making, especially in political discourse.
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Oct 9, 2024 • 28min

Should the government target persnuffle?

In this engaging discussion, BBC reporter Charlotte MacDonald shares insights on the alarming statistic of 35 million birds dying from glass collisions in the UK. Research economist Ben Zaranco tackles the complexities in government fiscal policies and the potential for changes in debt rules. Meanwhile, Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter reflects on the randomness of existence, contemplating the peculiar factors surrounding his own conception. They also dissect childhood obesity trends, questioning measurement methodologies and their implications.
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Oct 5, 2024 • 10min

Are 672 billion pounds of corn eaten in the US every year?

Krista Swanson, Chief Economist for the Corn Growers Association, and Margaret Smith, Professor of Plant Breeding at Cornell University, dive into America's staggering corn consumption. They dissect the claim of 672 billion pounds of corn eaten annually, revealing that much of this figure includes corn used for biofuel and animal feed. The duo humorously navigates the complexities of corn's journey from field to food, highlighting the overwhelming presence of corn derivatives like high-fructose corn syrup in our diets, all while re-evaluating the stats that shape our understanding of this essential crop.
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Oct 2, 2024 • 29min

How do you breed seventeen octillion rats?

Explore the surprising decrease in GP working hours in the UK and the factors driving this trend. Uncover the truth about Wetherspoon's tax contributions and the rising economic inactivity affecting various demographics. Delve into the mind-boggling math of rat reproduction, revealing how ideal conditions can lead to astronomical population growth. Join the hosts as they dissect the complexities behind these statistics and challenge preconceived notions with a blend of humor and rigorous analysis.
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6 snips
Sep 28, 2024 • 9min

The puzzles you’re meant to get wrong

Join Alex Bellos, an acclaimed author renowned for his engaging puzzles and insights into problem-solving psychology, as he explores why we often leap to the wrong answers. He shares intriguing puzzles from his latest book, including mind-boggling scenarios about age and the classic bat and ball riddle that prompts critical reflection. Dive into the logic behind the hens and eggs conundrum, revealing how grasping key mechanics can sharpen your puzzle-solving skills. It's a captivating journey into the quirks of our minds!
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Sep 25, 2024 • 29min

Could the winter fuel cut cost more than it saves?

The government’s push for pensioners to claim pension credit raises questions about potential costs. A new statistic on the transgender population has been downgraded, revealing issues with data reliability. Alarmingly, cancer rates are increasing among those under 50, though mortality rates are decreasing. The discussion shifts from serious health concerns to a playful math puzzle, inviting listeners to engage. Additionally, there are intriguing tales of unsung heroes from World War II, showcasing courage and covert contributions.
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6 snips
Sep 21, 2024 • 10min

Do 85% of the world’s population practice a religion?

Conrad Hackett, a specialist in religious statistics from the Pew Research Center, joins Reverend Lucy Winkett, an insightful Anglican priest, to explore the claim that 85% of the global population practices a religion. They discuss the complexities behind measuring religious affiliation, highlighting a significant gap between identity and active practice. The conversation also sheds light on the decline of religious engagement in Europe and the unique challenges of assessing beliefs in East Asia, illustrating the evolving landscape of global faith.
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4 snips
Sep 18, 2024 • 29min

How do you count millionaires?

Explore the intriguing exodus of millionaires from the UK and the reliability of migration statistics. Discover the rising costs of the asylum system and the economic impacts of asylum seekers. Delve into the Baumol Effect using a string quartet as a vivid illustration of rising public service costs despite technological advancements. The discussion also touches on public sector productivity challenges and a playful wager about private school pupil numbers, revealing how data shapes perceptions and impacts policy.
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Sep 14, 2024 • 9min

Nate Silver: Do risk-takers run the world?

Nate Silver, a big stakes poker player and election analyst, explores the world of calculated risk in this fascinating discussion. He argues that those who embrace risk are thriving in today’s economy, from hedge fund managers to Silicon Valley investors. Silver highlights the shift towards data-driven decisions and the fine line between intelligent risk-taking and pure luck, using examples like Sam Bankman-Fried. He also draws parallels between poker strategies and unpredictable political landscapes, emphasizing the need for careful prediction amid potential overconfidence.

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