Join Mary Radcliffe, a senior researcher on political psychology, alongside Nathaniel Rakich and Jeffrey Skelly, both senior elections analysts specializing in voter behavior and election trends. They dive into why Democratic turnout dipped and explore the tangled dynamics in North Carolina's voting patterns. Expect a vibrant discussion on bandwagoning behavior, the impact of misinformation, and the complexities of polling data. These experts dissect what's shaping the 2024 electoral landscape with engaging insights and data-driven analysis.

Ruth Egelnik, polling editor at the New York Times, and Mary Radcliffe, senior researcher at FiveThirtyEight, bring their expertise to a playful discussion about the 2024 political landscape. They explore humorous political superlatives, drawing amusing parallels with high school experiences. The duo delves into polling trends, highlighting shifting voter dynamics, especially among Latino voters. They also examine the complexities of voter priorities on issues such as abortion and immigration, all while navigating the unpredictable nature of upcoming elections.

The guests, Mary Radcliffe, a Senior Researcher, Elliot Morris, Director of Data Analytics, and Nathaniel Rakich, Senior Elections Analyst, delve into Donald Trump's surprising second presidential victory. They dissect voter shifts among demographics, emphasizing changing attitudes among Hispanic and white voters. The discussion highlights the economic challenges during Biden's presidency and the aggravating political consequences. Finally, they analyze immigration's role in voter turnout and the complexities of Trump’s enduring appeal in a polarized landscape.

Nathaniel Rakich and Mary Radcliffe from FiveThirtyEight dive into a whirlwind of post-election hot takes. They dissect claims about Democrats losing the working class and analyze the accuracy of recent polls. Surprising trends emerge, such as Republican voters supporting liberal measures, and they explore down-ballot voting behaviors, especially regarding abortion initiatives. The duo also reviews the shifting dynamics in the House and Senate, revealing challenges a slim Republican majority faces amidst internal discord.

Mary Radcliffe, a senior researcher, and Jeffrey Skelly, a senior elections analyst, dive into President Biden's unexpected pardon of his son, Hunter. They analyze the historical context and public reaction to this controversial move. The conversation shifts to the 2026 midterm elections, where challenges await both Democrats and Republicans. They discuss key state dynamics, the significance of incumbents, and the perpetual cycle of political engagement as the nation gears up for the next electoral showdown.

Mary Radcliffe, a senior researcher, and Nathaniel Rakich, a senior elections analyst, dive into intriguing election dynamics amid Halloween vibes. They address whether favorability impacts voter choices and the surprising ways bad weather might affect turnout. The duo also examines how economic conditions and incumbency influence voter sentiment, particularly among Latino communities. Notably, they discuss the rise in young voter registrations and what that means for upcoming elections, all while sharing their quirky election night traditions.

In this discussion, Jeffrey Skelly, a senior elections analyst, and Mary Radcliffe, a senior researcher, delve into expectations for a potential second Trump term. They analyze the implications of cabinet picks, like the controversial nomination of Matt Gaetz, and discuss how sexual assault allegations impact market perceptions. The duo also explores American consumer sentiment shifts post-election and questions surrounding the likelihood of electing a female president, adding a thought-provoking layer to the political landscape.

Mary Radcliffe from FiveThirtyEight and Ruth Igielnik, a journalist at The New York Times, delve into the alarming rise of political violence in America and its impact on public opinion. They explore the shifting political landscape among young Americans, particularly the increasing liberal alignment of young women. The discussion highlights how movements like Me Too are influencing this trend and examines the contrasting media consumption habits of Gen Z. Their insights raise critical questions about future voting behaviors and the gender gap in politics.

Elliot Morris, Director of Data Analytics at FiveThirtyEight, and Mary Radcliffe, Senior Researcher at FiveThirtyEight, tackle the complex dynamics shaping the upcoming election. They discuss the potential impact of generational and racial shifts on the Electoral College map. The conversation delves into changing American views on the Israel-Hamas conflict, evolving voter perceptions of Trump and Harris, and innovative polling techniques, including AI's role in election narratives. Their insights illuminate a rapidly evolving political landscape.

Political analyst Mary Radcliffe and expert Geoffrey Skelley discuss Vice President Kamala Harris's potential in the 2024 presidential race, comparing her campaign to Biden's. They explore perceptions of Harris's liberalism and her strategies to appeal to a broader electorate. The podcast also analyzes polling data, fundraising success, and the impact of race and gender on Harris's campaign enthusiasm.