FiveThirtyEight Politics Donald Trump Wins The Presidency
30 snips
Nov 6, 2024 
The guests, Mary Radcliffe, a Senior Researcher, Elliot Morris, Director of Data Analytics, and Nathaniel Rakich, Senior Elections Analyst, delve into Donald Trump's surprising second presidential victory. They dissect voter shifts among demographics, emphasizing changing attitudes among Hispanic and white voters. The discussion highlights the economic challenges during Biden's presidency and the aggravating political consequences. Finally, they analyze immigration's role in voter turnout and the complexities of Trump’s enduring appeal in a polarized landscape.
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Turnout and Predictions
- Polls accurately predicted the close race, reflecting both candidate support and potential voter turnout.
- Turnout in Democratic strongholds was lower than expected, possibly contributing to Trump's likely win.
Voter Dissatisfaction
- Voters' dissatisfaction with incumbent governments, fueled by economic and pandemic recovery issues, likely contributed to Trump's potential win.
- This global trend is evident in other countries where incumbent parties have struggled.
Trump's Personal Appeal
- Some voters support Trump while voting for Democratic House candidates, suggesting a personality-driven choice.
- This split-ticket voting indicates Trump's appeal goes beyond standard Republican party lines.