FiveThirtyEight Politics
The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away
Dec 2, 2024
Mary Radcliffe, a senior researcher, and Jeffrey Skelly, a senior elections analyst, dive into President Biden's unexpected pardon of his son, Hunter. They analyze the historical context and public reaction to this controversial move. The conversation shifts to the 2026 midterm elections, where challenges await both Democrats and Republicans. They discuss key state dynamics, the significance of incumbents, and the perpetual cycle of political engagement as the nation gears up for the next electoral showdown.
39:30
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Quick takeaways
- President Biden's unprecedented pardon of Hunter Biden raises ethical questions about self-serving pardons and presidential credibility.
- The dynamics of the 2026 midterm elections suggest a potentially favorable landscape for Democrats to reclaim the House of Representatives.
Deep dives
President Biden's Pardon of Hunter Biden
President Biden granted a sweeping pardon to his son, Hunter Biden, for offenses potentially spanning a ten-year period. This decision marks a significant shift from previous statements where Biden had committed not to use his pardoning power for familial benefit, particularly after Hunter's gun charges earlier in the year. The reaction from Republican figures has been stark, accusing Biden of dishonesty and corruption, with fears that this pardon could undermine the president's credibility. The case raises questions about the implications of presidential pardons when they appear self-serving and the potential public backlash that may follow.
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