FiveThirtyEight Politics The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away
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Dec 2, 2024 
Mary Radcliffe, a senior researcher, and Jeffrey Skelly, a senior elections analyst, dive into President Biden's unexpected pardon of his son, Hunter. They analyze the historical context and public reaction to this controversial move. The conversation shifts to the 2026 midterm elections, where challenges await both Democrats and Republicans. They discuss key state dynamics, the significance of incumbents, and the perpetual cycle of political engagement as the nation gears up for the next electoral showdown.
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Biden Pardons Hunter
- President Biden pardoned his son Hunter for federal tax and gun charges.
- This reversed Biden's prior promise to respect the judicial process regarding Hunter's case.
Reactions to the Pardon
- The pardon surprised Mary Radcliffe due to Biden's previous statements.
- Jeffrey Skelly wasn't as surprised, viewing it as Biden using his power to help family.
Presidential Pardons: Historical Context
- Presidents have a constitutional right to pardon offenses against the U.S.
- Pardons have been used in various ways historically, depending on the president and circumstances.