6min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

The 2026 Midterms Are Only 701 Days Away

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Analyzing Historical Trends and Future Projections for Midterm Elections

This chapter examines the historical trends of midterm elections, particularly how the sitting president's party often faces losses, while occasionally gaining seats under unique conditions. It further analyzes voter turnout trends and forecasts potential outcomes for the 2026 midterms based on current political factors.

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