FiveThirtyEight Politics The Best And Worst Post-Election Hot Takes
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Nov 11, 2024 
Nathaniel Rakich and Mary Radcliffe from FiveThirtyEight dive into a whirlwind of post-election hot takes. They dissect claims about Democrats losing the working class and analyze the accuracy of recent polls. Surprising trends emerge, such as Republican voters supporting liberal measures, and they explore down-ballot voting behaviors, especially regarding abortion initiatives. The duo also reviews the shifting dynamics in the House and Senate, revealing challenges a slim Republican majority faces amidst internal discord.
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Polling Accuracy
- The polls were mostly accurate, with a 2.7% national error and 2% in battleground states.
- This is the most accurate presidential polling in over 25 years, outperforming the 4% average error.
Working Class Shift
- The working class abandoned Democrats, with Trump winning voters making under $50,000.
- This contrasts with 2020, where Biden won this group by 11 points, indicating a significant shift.
Cultural Issues
- Democrats didn't campaign on niche cultural issues; Republicans used those themes in attack ads.
- Democrats struggled to counter these narratives, impacting voter perception.