Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Introduction
00:00 • 2min
The Best Employment Report of the Year
02:21 • 3min
The Fed's Wage Growth Target
05:25 • 4min
The Importance of Wage Growth
09:11 • 2min
The Rise of Part Time Workers
10:45 • 2min
The Unemployment Rate Is Consistent With the Economy Slowing
13:03 • 4min
The Slowdown in Wage Growth Is Counterintuitive
17:33 • 2min
The Slowdown in Job Growth and Layoffs
19:03 • 5min
The Strength of the Labor Force in a Stable Labor Force Participation Rate
24:31 • 2min
The Rise in the Working Age Population
26:33 • 2min
The Slowdown in Employment Growth
28:24 • 2min
The Job Market Labor Market and Productivity Growth
30:33 • 2min
The CMB's Estimate for GDP in the Third Quarter
33:00 • 2min
The Importance of Tracking Estimates
34:40 • 3min
The Low Level of Layoffs
37:32 • 3min
The Economy Is Still Generating Productivity Gains That Are 1.5%
40:07 • 6min
The Yin and Yang of the Productivity Debate
46:06 • 3min
The One Third Probability of Recession Over the Next 12 Months
49:35 • 3min