2min chapter

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics cover image

Near Perfect, New Probability

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

CHAPTER

The Slowdown in Wage Growth Is Counterintuitive

I don't think there's any evidence that we're well beyond full employment at 3.5%. We are still drawing in 150,000 to 250,000 workers into labor force every month. I think you could argue that we could see wage growth moderate faster if unemployment crept up closer to four. But I don't think we necessarily need to see that happen in order to get back to a steady state where we're a long run path.

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