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Near Perfect, New Probability

Moody's Talks - Inside Economics

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The Importance of Tracking Estimates

This is early days. We don't have many hard data, as you say. So this is based on very little. What if you get 4.1% with inflation still coming in and the job market's still slowing? Yeah. Although productivity then is taking off. That could mean the productivity is providing a bigger lift than it has recently. I think it certainly is a positive sign that growth is going to maybe pick up a little bit from where it was in the third quarter. Vehicle sales is the key to when that starts for the next quarter.

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