Many Happy Returns

How High Will Interest Rates Go?

Jun 20, 2023
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Transcript
Episode notes
1
Introduction
00:00 • 2min
2
The UK's Inflation Outlook
02:19 • 2min
3
The Problem With Core Inflation in the UK
04:21 • 2min
4
Guilt Yields Jumped After the Latest Wage Inflation Print
06:31 • 2min
5
The U-Shaped Value of Pain in the UK Government Bond Market
08:34 • 2min
6
The Importance of Historical Context in Interest Rates
10:38 • 2min
7
The Bank of England's Communication With the Public Has Been Poor
12:14 • 2min
8
The Fed's Models for Inflation Don't Work
14:04 • 2min
9
The Problem With Mechanized Monetary Policy
15:59 • 2min
10
The Problem With Fiscal Policy and Interest Rates
17:43 • 2min
11
The Problem With Fiscal Policy in the UK
19:47 • 2min
12
The Effects of Interest Rate Swaps on the Bond Market
21:57 • 2min
13
The Risks of Hedging Your Mortgage Rates
23:52 • 2min
14
The Impact of Interest Rates on the UK Economy
26:19 • 3min
15
The UK's Housing Market Is Changing
29:11 • 4min
16
The Price to Income Ratio in the UK
32:58 • 2min
17
The Bank of England's Forecast for a Recession
34:52 • 2min
18
The Bank of England's Negative Messaging
36:57 • 2min
19
The Decline of the UK Housing Market
38:39 • 2min
20
Why Central Banks Raise Interest Rates Incrementally
40:12 • 2min
21
The Importance of Signaling to Markets
41:46 • 3min