The Weekly Listen: Why AI Might Be Hitting a Wall, The Impact of Impending Tariffs, and More | Dec 13, 2024
Dec 13, 2024
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Oscar Orozco, Senior Director of Forecasts at eMarketer, joins Ethan Cramer-Flood, Principal Forecasting Writer, and Zach Goldner, Senior Forecasting Analyst, to discuss the slowing pace of AI development amidst growing consumer skepticism. They explore TikTok's uncertain future amid political tensions and how sports viewership is shifting towards highlights over full games. The team also delves into the financial impact of looming tariffs on American consumers and the changing dynamics of youth sports participation. Insightful and engaging!
The escalating costs and complexities of maintaining AI platforms may lead over 50% of enterprises to abandon large-scale AI development by 2028.
Impending tariffs are projected to significantly increase prices for U.S. consumers, echoing historical impacts of past tariff implementations on everyday goods.
Deep dives
AI Development Challenges
The ongoing development of artificial intelligence is facing significant hurdles, particularly in terms of increasing costs and diminishing returns. Research indicates that the maintenance expenses for AI platforms can reach up to $700,000 daily, posing a substantial financial burden on companies. A notable prediction suggests that by 2028, over 50% of enterprises may abandon efforts to develop large-scale AI models due to these overwhelming costs and complexity. Consumer sentiment is also shifting, with a Pew study revealing that 52% of Americans are now more concerned about AI than excited, demonstrating a growing fatigue and skepticism towards this technology.
The Future of TikTok
The impending fate of TikTok is uncertain as the app faces potential bans due to national security concerns tied to its Chinese ownership. Recent rulings from U.S. courts have upheld these restrictions, yet speculation remains about potential interventions from incoming political leaders. There is a possibility that TikTok may not be fully banned but could require significant adjustments to appease regulatory concerns. Despite the challenges, projections indicate that TikTok's advertising revenue is expected to grow substantially, highlighting its continued relevance in digital marketing.
Impact of Highlights on Sports Viewership
The proliferation of highlights and short-form content is raising questions about the future of live sports viewership. Many experts argue that rather than undermining live sports, highlights actually enhance viewer engagement by drawing in new audiences. Historical evidence suggests that shows like ESPN's SportsCenter have positively influenced sports viewership by generating interest. A survey indicates that younger viewers, particularly those aged 18 to 24, now show a greater preference for clips over full-length games, but many still value the experience of watching live events.
Effects of Tariffs on Consumers
Proposed tariffs under the incoming administration are expected to have significant implications for U.S. consumers, potentially leading to increased prices on imported goods. Historical data shows that previous tariffs have caused substantial price hikes, affecting everyday items such as appliances, which saw price increases of nearly 12% following past tariff impositions. Economists agree that while companies may prepare for these tariffs, it is ultimately consumers who will bear the financial burden. As inflation issues persist, these tariffs could exacerbate the existing cost concerns for consumers across various sectors.
On today’s podcast episode, we discuss if AI development is slowing down or speeding up, when it’s all said and done what happens to TikTok, if live sports are under threat from highlights, the potential impact of impending tariffs, which sports kids play the most, and more. Tune in to the discussion with Senior Director of Podcasts and host Marcus Johnson, Senior Director of Forecasts Oscar Orozco, Principal Forecasting Writer Ethan Cramer-Flood, and Senior Forecasting Analyst Zach Goldner.
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