#63: Why Polls Matter with G. Elliott Morris

1

Introduction

00:00 • 2min

2

How Do You Predict the Weather?

01:31 • 2min

3

Is There a 70 % Chance of Rain?

03:59 • 4min

4

Are Election Forecasts the Good Ones?

07:50 • 3min

5

Are You an Upholsterer?

10:39 • 2min

6

Is the Term Polsters a Compliment?

12:23 • 2min

7

How Did You Become a Data Leason?

14:29 • 3min

8

Was It a Data Junkie?

17:35 • 2min

9

How Did You Get Into Quantitative Analysis?

19:42 • 3min

10

Politics With Statisticians - Is That What Happened?

22:16 • 2min

11

Why Do We Need Poles?

24:45 • 3min

12

What Are People Really Thinking?

27:20 • 3min

13

I Love the Image of Abe Lincoln in the White House

30:44 • 2min

14

The Changes Overtime of Public Opinion Polling

32:18 • 4min

15

How to Measure the Response Rate of Upholsters

36:30 • 4min

16

The Margin of Error From Upholsterer

40:21 • 3min

17

How Can We Improve Public Conversation the Poles?

43:42 • 2min

18

Election Forecasters Could Be More Careful About Polling Errors

45:13 • 5min

19

The Language of Uncertainty in the Model

50:13 • 4min

20

Predicting Elections

54:08 • 4min

21

Predicting the 20 20 Election

58:07 • 4min

22

Using Machine Learning to Optimize Aggressiveness

01:02:17 • 4min

23

What's the Book About?

01:06:33 • 3min