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#63: Why Polls Matter with G. Elliott Morris

Opinion Science

00:00

Predicting Elections

M: I wanted to sort of pivot a little bit to talk about forecasting, like a little more specifically. Election forecasting is superimportant because almost never do we have the opportunity to check a polling estimate against some objective bench mark. After two thousand eight and two thousand 12, the election forecasters, hear, not the polsters, the people predicting the elections using public polles, were pretty liberal in claiming their victory. M: We need reminders that these are just estimates.

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