#63: Why Polls Matter with G. Elliott Morris
Opinion Science
00:00
Using Machine Learning to Optimize Aggressiveness
We think in polarized political times that elections are more certain empirically. They are because there are fewer swing voters so, you know, we have a long history of election where presidents win between 53 and forty seven percentage points of the too popular vote. So they'll never reach that. We can tell the model right, like, before before we even collect the economic data,. Because we're in pretty polarized times, only forecast roughly between 40 to 60 eage points.
Transcript
Play full episode
