The Science of Success

Powerful Tools For Dealing With Uncertainty with Josh Kaufman

Sep 3, 2020
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INSIGHT

Treat Uncertainty As A Planning Variable

  • Uncertainty is an ever-present feature of reality that you should plan for instead of denying.
  • Designing plans that assume uncertainty produces very different, more resilient outcomes.
ADVICE

Hold A Strategic Reserve

  • Build reserves and lines of credit to create buffers for unexpected events and opportunities.
  • Treat a strategic reserve as both emergency funds and capital for promising opportunities.
INSIGHT

Judge Decisions By Permanence And Impact

  • Evaluate decisions by their permanence and impact to decide how much information you need.
  • Low-impact choices are for experiments; high-impact choices require more data and care.
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