Macro Mondays

Economic analyst and commentator, Mikael Sarwe, joins the hosts to discuss the US recession, the impacts of Donald Trump's return to the White House on Ukraine and the stock market, Brazil's current events and market implications, credit risk in China and Mexico, the confusing start to the year for the economy and stock market, recent events in New York Community Bank, and speculating on the Bank of Japan's interest rate moves and currency trading.

Geopolitics expert Jacob Shapiro joins the podcast to discuss the potential war between the US and Iran. They explore the implications for global markets, examine the stabilization of ship traffic, and express concerns about unresolved issues impacting shipping activity. They also delve into recent actions by Iranian militias, the lack of interest in escalation from most state actors, and the role of geopolitical competition in driving tech innovation and energy transition. The discussion includes rumors of a truce between Israel and Hamas and its potential impact on the oil price.

The podcast explores the worsening crisis in the Red Sea and its lasting impact on global inflation. It discusses the implications for Chinese, European, and US markets. Other topics include the difficulties of powering electric tanks, Ukraine's actions and their ramifications for US inflation, China's commitment and implementation debate, the impact on Germany, and the possibility of increased aerial attacks using bats.

Global macro economist, Dario Perkins, joins the hosts to discuss a new supply shock in the Red Sea and its potential impact on freight rates and imported goods. They also explore the turbulence between Iran and Pakistan, the divergence in inflation trends between the dollar and euro, and the implications of China's manipulated GDP numbers on asset prices.

Bob Elliott, an expert in economics and finance, joins the show to discuss the re-acceleration of US inflation and its implications for the Fed. The podcast also explores the recent developments in the Red Sea and the potential impact on financial markets. Other topics include inflation trends in Japan, the Federal Reserve's balance sheet, and the divergence in inflation trends between the US and outside of the US.

The podcast discusses the potential impact of high issuance and supply chain disruptions on inflation, focusing on Europe and transportation. They explore the recent attacks on freight ships in the Red Sea and its implications for global trade. The consequences of the Federal Reserve's actions and Bitcoin's ETF approval are also discussed, along with the country's debt, rising energy prices, and interest rates. The chapter concludes with a conversation about high inflation and its impact on freight rates, as well as potential strategies for investing in shipping companies.

Marvin Barth from Thematic Markets joins the hosts to discuss the consensus outlook for 2024 and the pros/cons of betting against it. Topics include the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine, the potential return of Donald Trump, debunking predictions, implications of a globalization shift on credit events, and concerns about future political instability in the US.

The podcast features Claus Vistesen, Economist at Pantheon, as a guest. The host and guest discuss recent inflation prints in the UK and the US, the challenges faced by the European Central Bank (ECB) in guiding market expectations, and the possibility of ECB cutting interest rates. They also explore the uncertainties and indicators pointing towards re-acceleration in inflation next year.

Raoul Pal, a guest on the podcast, discusses the late reaction of central banks to recessionary pricing of risk assets. The podcast explores the abuse of communication tools in monetary policy, the relationship between the US treasury and the federal reserve, the impact of AI on GDP growth, the role of humans in digital communities, and analysis of domestic indicators and energy supply risks.

Ronnie Stoeferle, author of In Gold We Trust and of Incrementum Funds, discusses the recent performance of gold and the buyers behind its rally. The podcast also covers the state of the US economy, the credibility of the Federal Reserve, and the impact of US elections. Geopolitical risks in US operations near Guiana and Venezuela are explored, as well as the idea of filling up the Strategic Petroleum Reserve and the exponential age.